NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	5.6 [666]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +17.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	4.9 [607]		LVP	Robert Horry (LAL): -11.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	20	54%	0.08	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	17	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	18	48%	-0.02	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.03	0.02	24	72%	0.24	3	-0.06	19	53%	-0.05
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	10	55%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	11	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.3	16.7	29.4	0.3	33.1	134.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.6%

BOS -11.2%

LAL +26.7%

BOS -2.2%

LAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.5	107.9	115.6	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		99.3	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		102.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.9	14.2	17.9	16.3	16.5
LAL	17.3	16.5	14.8	14.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	25	26	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-14	20	15.4	16.9	-1.53	13.9	16.5	-2.53
Bimbo Coles	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-8	8	16.7	16.4	0.33	15.8	15.7	0.08
Tony Battie	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-4	0	16.5	16.4	0.06	17.9	14.7	3.20
Kedrick Brown	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-1	-6	17.2	16.0	1.16	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Eric Williams	53	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.9	17.3	-1.37	16.4	14.7	1.71
Grant Long	19	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	16.8	16.4	0.42	16.3	15.6	0.69
Mark Blount	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-4	0	16.4	16.5	-0.06	14.7	17.9	-3.20
Antoine Walker	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	16.5	16.4	0.11	15.8	15.3	0.45
J.R. Bremer	74	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	0	-8	16.4	16.7	-0.33	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Paul Pierce	58	60	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.32	-14	6	-20	16.9	15.6	1.25	15.8	15.6	0.18

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	62	61	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.22	13	-5	18	15.7	15.7	-0.04	16.4	16.6	-0.21
Mark Madsen	40	38	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-8	24	16.6	15.0	1.67	17.4	15.7	1.72
Shaquille O'Neal	74	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-3	14	15.5	16.7	-1.25	16.5	16.3	0.18
Derek Fisher	49	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-3	14	16.9	14.4	2.49	16.0	17.0	-0.95
Kobe Bryant	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	3	2	16.4	14.6	1.81	16.2	16.9	-0.65
Devean George	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	4	0	15.1	16.3	-1.18	16.9	16.0	0.89
Jannero Pargo	32	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	8	-8	13.8	16.8	-3.01	17.7	15.8	1.97
Robert Horry	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	13	-18	14.5	16.7	-2.11	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Kareem Rush	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	15.3	15.7	-0.42	14.5	16.6	-2.10
Samaki Walker	15	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	11	-14	17.0	15.5	1.53	16.3	16.5	-0.18
Slava Medvedenko	11	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	11	-14	16.4	15.6	0.73	14.7	16.7	-1.98
Brian Shaw	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.00	-8	16	-24	15.6	15.7	-0.11	16.0	16.6	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 76, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
TOR 84, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%