NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	5.4 [715]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +27.6%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	5.0 [321]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -11.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cherokee Parks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	76%	0.14	5	-0.13	11	91%	0.04
Shane Heal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	72%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Doug West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	13	47%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.15	-0.01	15	70%	0.30	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.08	0.04	24	65%	0.23	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.7	30.2	14.8	25.0	1.6	28.2	131.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.3%

MIN -5.3%

UTA +10.0%

UTA +14.4%

UTA +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.6	102.2	117.8	104.4
season	15.5	15.6		103.3	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.5		102.2	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	15.1	19.4	14.1	15.7
UTA	14.8	16.9	15.7	15.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	13	13	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-14	17	15.8	15.7	0.11	18.8	15.3	3.48
Shane Heal	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-7	3	12.8	15.9	-3.04	17.3	15.7	1.62
Tom Gugliotta	70	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-10	9	14.7	18.7	-4.07	16.4	13.9	2.58
Dean Garrett	63	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-7	3	16.5	14.0	2.43	16.0	15.3	0.73
Cherokee Parks	26	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	18.2	14.7	3.49	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Stephon Marbury	78	73	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-6	1	16.6	10.7	5.89	15.8	15.9	-0.19
Stojko Vrankovic	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	14.0	16.5	-2.43	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Terry Porter	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-7	3	13.3	17.6	-4.32	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Doug West	60	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-2	-7	16.4	14.4	1.99	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Sam Mitchell	77	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	7	-25	15.7	15.4	0.29	14.7	21.2	-6.49

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	67	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-6	23	14.8	18.7	-3.90	15.9	14.9	1.02
Jeff Hornacek	60	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-3	17	16.4	14.6	1.73	15.9	15.3	0.58
Karl Malone	80	84	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-4	19	15.3	19.8	-4.51	16.1	11.4	4.69
Greg Ostertag	47	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	14.9	16.7	-1.78	16.5	14.8	1.79
John Stockton	72	74	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	4	3	15.8	15.8	0.01	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Howard Eisley	18	19	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	7	-3	15.8	15.8	-0.01	15.8	15.6	0.21
Antoine Carr	43	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	11	-11	16.7	14.9	1.78	14.8	16.5	-1.79
Adam Keefe	16	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.07	1	10	-9	15.6	15.8	-0.20	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Greg Foster	4	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	15	-19	20.0	15.6	4.41	10.2	15.9	-5.67
Chris Morris	29	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	15	-19	18.3	14.6	3.72	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Shandon Anderson	14	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	17	-23	14.7	16.0	-1.27	15.2	15.8	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.82,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 68, CHA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
ATL 99, BOS 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
LAC 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%