NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	5.2 [742]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +15.0%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	4.2 [525]		LVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): -12.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	6	108%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	6	107%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	39%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Larry Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	0.07	15	59%	0.00	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.01	17	61%	0.24	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	7	94%	0.18	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	65%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.09	0.03	-0.07	10	37%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	15	73%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	27.2	15.4	27.4	2.5	30.5	130.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +25.3%

BOS +2.0%

BOS +7.7%

BOS +14.7%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.5	110.0	117.8	100.9
season	15.4	15.1		96.0	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	15.8	19.1	16.6	16.2
BOS	16.3	16.9	16.9	13.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-7	7	19.4	16.0	3.41	21.4	15.5	5.91
DerMarr Johnson	63	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-15	23	15.3	18.3	-3.08	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Alan Henderson	52	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-15	23	15.5	17.1	-1.61	16.1	15.5	0.57
Lorenzen Wright	46	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-7	7	15.6	16.8	-1.21	15.2	16.6	-1.45
Jason Terry	41	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-8	9	15.7	16.6	-0.91	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Matt Maloney	49	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	1	-9	16.6	15.7	0.91	16.4	15.2	1.17
Dikembe Mutombo	49	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	1	-9	16.7	15.6	1.09	16.7	14.8	1.93
Jim Jackson	79	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-4	1	16.0	17.5	-1.45	15.7	16.5	-0.72
Hanno Mottola	33	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	7	-21	17.3	15.5	1.82	15.1	16.2	-1.16
Larry Robinson	33	32	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.06	-19	12	-31	17.9	15.2	2.69	15.5	16.0	-0.55

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	65	64	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-3	13	15.7	16.1	-0.41	16.8	14.7	2.14
Antoine Walker	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	15.5	17.2	-1.65	16.6	14.0	2.61
Paul Pierce	70	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-3	13	16.2	14.6	1.57	16.8	13.6	3.21
Vitaly Potapenko	41	44	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	4	-1	15.1	16.4	-1.24	15.8	16.5	-0.75
Chris Herren	59	59	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	5	-3	15.6	16.2	-0.57	17.2	14.2	2.98
Rick Brunson	32	31	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	2	3	16.1	15.7	0.42	14.2	17.2	-2.98
Tony Battie	48	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	3	1	16.5	15.1	1.36	16.5	15.8	0.75
Eric Williams	28	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	10	-13	15.2	16.1	-0.83	14.9	16.7	-1.89
Chris Carr	17	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	10	-13	15.8	15.8	-0.07	13.2	16.9	-3.63
Walter McCarty	15	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	11	-15	17.2	15.5	1.65	14.0	16.6	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 95, UTA 106	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.82,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.94,1,1	93.3%
CLE 69, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.0%