NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	121		Excitement	6.6 [499]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +20.6%
Phoenix Suns	136		Comeback	5.0 [518]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -9.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.21	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.04	0.00	21	72%	0.27	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	-0.01	0.05	12	85%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Carroll	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	11	74%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Burleson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	19	44%	0.07	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Kareem Rush	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	15	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.03	-0.02	19	66%	0.23	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.04	0.03	17	77%	0.24	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.06	0.04	9	71%	0.16	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	9	70%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	56%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	21	60%	0.11	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	9	18%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	27.5	14.7	25.2	2.6	28.2	125.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +11.8%

PHX +24.3%

PHX +17.7%

CHA -7.7%

PHX +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	13.0	13.2	15.6	109.0	124.8	104.4
season	14.8	13.8		100.5	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		105.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	10.6	12.6	15.2	14.3	13.0
PHX	11.9	13.6	11.5	16.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	49	49	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-17	19	13.2	12.9	0.31	12.1	14.1	-1.99
Kevin Burleson	3	2	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.05	3	-18	21	4.3	13.2	-8.92	28.0	12.9	15.10
Raymond Felton	87	86	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-8	1	13.3	11.8	1.55	12.6	15.4	-2.81
Jumaine Jones	94	92	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-7	-1	12.8	14.2	-1.38	13.3	12.5	0.76
Brevin Knight	78	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-9	3	13.3	12.4	0.83	13.6	12.0	1.62
Matt Carroll	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-9	3	11.9	14.5	-2.66	12.5	14.0	-1.44
Gerald Wallace	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-1	-13	13.5	11.8	1.71	13.1	13.4	-0.25
Bernard Robinson	29	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-6	-3	13.1	13.0	0.08	11.8	13.6	-1.86
Jake Voskuhl	23	23	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	-6	-3	15.9	12.2	3.66	16.0	12.4	3.64
Kareem Rush	49	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.08	-21	6	-27	12.1	13.7	-1.66	14.1	12.5	1.60

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	62	63	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.13	17	-2	19	14.1	11.9	2.25	12.8	13.3	-0.46
Boris Diaw	88	90	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-2	19	12.9	14.5	-1.67	13.1	12.7	0.36
Shawn Marion	98	100	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-3	21	13.1	14.3	-1.22	12.8	15.0	-2.21
Steve Nash	85	85	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	2	11	12.9	14.1	-1.17	12.5	14.6	-2.05
Raja Bell	95	98	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	6	3	13.0	14.5	-1.52	13.1	12.2	0.97
Eddie House	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	15	-15	14.4	12.7	1.74	13.3	12.9	0.47
Pat Burke	12	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	14	-13	14.2	13.0	1.21	12.8	13.0	-0.20
Leandro Barbosa	73	75	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	15	-15	12.7	14.1	-1.32	13.7	11.6	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.83,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 106, DEN 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.2%
MIN 95, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1	92.7%
SAS 75, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.6%