NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	6.4 [421]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +20.7%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	3.0 [489]		LVP	Derrick Williams (MIN): -22.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Ricky Rubio	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Nikola Pekovic	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Love	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.01	25	41%	-0.08	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	10	23%	-0.16	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.05	-0.02	12	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	11	55%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.07	10	68%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	13	50%	0.01	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	32.8	14.8	23.3	1.7	33.0	133.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +73.4%

MIN -9.0%

MIN -2.7%

MIN -10.4%

MIN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.6	13.8	15.6	101.1	108.3	102.8
season	15.3	15.0		102.6	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.5	16.8	18.2	14.7	16.6
PHX	12.9	13.9	11.4	17.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	57	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-8	7	15.9	17.7	-1.84	14.1	13.3	0.82
Luke Ridnour	83	84	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-10	11	16.6	16.4	0.25	14.1	11.1	3.06
Derrick Williams	35	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	16.7	16.5	0.21	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Nikola Pekovic	74	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	16.5	16.8	-0.34	14.4	11.7	2.64
Ricky Rubio	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	16.1	17.5	-1.39	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Michael Beasley	36	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	17.6	15.9	1.66	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Kevin Love	79	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	1	-11	16.6	16.5	0.06	13.4	15.6	-2.16
Martell Webster	43	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	3	-15	17.3	16.0	1.32	13.3	14.2	-0.96

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	50	46	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	1	7	13.6	14.0	-0.38	17.7	15.6	2.09
Markieff Morris	33	31	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	5	-1	13.7	13.8	-0.14	18.0	15.9	2.16
Steve Nash	69	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	0	9	13.4	14.6	-1.21	16.4	17.2	-0.84
Jared Dudley	70	68	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	0	9	13.1	15.6	-2.54	16.3	17.2	-0.89
Marcin Gortat	72	70	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	2	5	13.3	15.2	-1.99	16.0	18.2	-2.12
Robin Lopez	24	24	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	7	-5	15.2	13.3	1.99	18.2	16.0	2.12
Channing Frye	46	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	0	9	14.0	13.6	0.38	15.1	18.2	-3.01
Grant Hill	72	74	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	8	-7	14.6	11.4	3.18	16.1	18.2	-2.05
Sebastian Telfair	27	26	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	9	-9	14.6	13.4	1.21	17.2	16.4	0.84
Hakim Warrick	17	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	13	-17	13.4	13.8	-0.42	18.4	16.3	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 86, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.92,1	93.5%
LAC 108, UTA 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.98,1	93.4%