inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 75 Excitement5.1 [834] MVPStephon Marbury (NYK): +11.1%
New York Knicks 88 Comeback2.7 [723] LVPMalik Rose (NYK): -22.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Brown0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.020.041269%0.0800.00875%0.00
Sean Marks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01850%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Dion Glover-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01433%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011045%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01455%-0.013-0.06367%-0.01
Brent Barry-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.0350%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.02739%-0.023-0.09425%-0.01
Beno Udrih-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.07-0.080.06642%-0.103-0.1100%0.00
Tony Parker-0.210,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.11-0.100.011541%-0.123-0.09450%-0.02

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.050.011962%0.141-0.031292%0.04
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00945%0.0100.00250%0.00
Bruno Sundov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jackie Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jermaine Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.01075%-0.0100.00475%-0.01
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00650%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Tim Thomas0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.021737%-0.071-0.03475%-0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.16-0.050.011842%-0.095-0.14786%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.532.316.426.32.430.6132.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +14.9%
NYK +3.6%
NYK +12.8%
NYK +19.6%
SAS -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNYKNBASASNYKNBA
this game16.416.315.586.298.9104.0
season16.315.8105.8103.9
opponent15.315.6106.598.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.715.818.315.816.4
NYK17.016.215.217.016.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks440.00-0.500.50-0.093-161911.716.6-4.8616.516.30.17
Manu Ginobili3837-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-131315.816.9-1.0718.514.83.63
Dion Glover1314-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-131315.516.6-1.0918.016.01.97
Rasho Nesterovic5659-0.05-0.450.39-0.112-151715.418.1-2.6517.114.92.17
Robert Horry4949-0.13-0.370.240.01-5-8317.315.22.1417.115.41.75
Tony Parker6668-0.19-0.310.130.05-8-5-316.914.72.2116.416.00.38
Devin Brown4751-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.03-10-3-716.716.00.6815.917.0-1.11
Beno Udrih2930-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.17-7-6-114.717.3-2.6014.817.1-2.37
Nazr Mohammed3940-0.40-0.10-0.310.01-141-1517.415.61.8515.916.7-0.79
Bruce Bowen5452-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.08-12-1-1117.115.31.8016.116.6-0.53
Brent Barry4041-0.520.02-0.54-0.11-141-1516.016.7-0.7214.118.2-4.06

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza57530.71-0.210.910.1220-72715.817.3-1.4716.316.6-0.28
Stephon Marbury78770.54-0.040.590.0218-52316.416.20.1816.813.53.27
Malik Rose69690.470.030.430.081301316.715.11.6017.014.12.87
Jamal Crawford81810.450.050.410.101211116.118.2-2.1016.415.70.78
Jerome Williams27260.230.27-0.050.0276117.815.72.1216.016.5-0.50
Tim Thomas61600.220.28-0.060.0467-115.817.5-1.6416.915.31.64
Jermaine Jackson540.030.47-0.440.12-316-1913.216.5-3.3210.516.7-6.17
Bruno Sundov220.000.50-0.500.03-114-1513.516.4-2.9010.016.5-6.54
Jackie Butler220.000.50-0.500.03-114-1513.516.4-2.9010.016.5-6.54
Michael Sweetney4646-0.050.55-0.59-0.02-114-1516.416.30.1116.216.7-0.51
Maurice Taylor1715-0.100.60-0.700.05-518-2318.415.82.5614.416.8-2.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 92, ORL 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.0%
DAL 97, PHI 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.48,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,193.7%
NYK 78, GSW 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.4%