NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	5.1 [808]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +15.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	3.1 [715]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (DAL): -13.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	3	92%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	40%	0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Marquis Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	12	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.02	0.09	11	68%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	15	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	16	56%	0.02	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	11	91%	0.18	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	11	73%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Steven Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	10	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	0.04	21	47%	0.07	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.00
James Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	0.00	18	45%	-0.03	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	27.0	15.3	26.4	2.5	32.6	132.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.2%

PHI +13.1%

PHI +12.3%

PHI +4.4%

DAL -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	104.3	119.1	104.4
season	16.4	15.2		109.0	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		106.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	15.0	16.4	16.6	15.5
PHI	16.7	16.3	14.3	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	33	32	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.05	9	-24	33	14.6	15.9	-1.30	17.5	14.2	3.34
Erick Dampier	38	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-21	27	15.1	15.7	-0.58	16.7	14.3	2.42
Jason Terry	68	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-19	23	15.6	15.2	0.32	15.6	14.7	0.83
Darrell Armstrong	21	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-8	1	15.3	15.5	-0.24	14.0	15.8	-1.76
Devin Harris	17	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-5	-5	15.1	15.6	-0.43	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Doug Christie	56	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-4	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.34	16.2	13.9	2.34
DeSagana Diop	23	23	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-2	-11	17.3	14.9	2.49	13.6	15.9	-2.28
Josh Howard	75	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	1	-17	15.2	16.4	-1.20	14.9	17.2	-2.29
Marquis Daniels	59	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	-3	-9	15.4	15.6	-0.27	15.4	15.2	0.22
Keith Van Horn	75	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.07	-25	10	-35	15.9	13.7	2.24	14.3	19.4	-5.06

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Thomas	32	32	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	0	15	14.0	16.0	-2.02	17.3	14.5	2.76
Kevin Ollie	36	34	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	6	3	15.4	15.3	0.14	16.7	14.7	1.99
John Salmons	35	34	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	-7	29	13.7	16.3	-2.53	15.9	15.2	0.74
Lee Nailon	24	24	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	1	13	14.8	15.5	-0.67	16.2	15.2	1.05
Allen Iverson	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	7	1	15.8	13.4	2.39	15.0	17.4	-2.44
Andre Iguodala	86	84	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	7	1	15.5	13.9	1.59	15.5	15.4	0.03
Kyle Korver	81	80	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	2	11	14.7	19.0	-4.26	15.3	16.6	-1.33
Chris Webber	75	74	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	22	-29	16.0	12.6	3.45	14.5	19.4	-4.96
Steven Hunter	27	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	22	-29	17.3	14.5	2.76	15.1	15.6	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.48,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
DET 81, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	93.7%
POR 94, MIL 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%