NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	81		Excitement	6.0 [619]		MVP	Steve Kerr (POR): +5.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	2.4 [569]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -26.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.03	14	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26	-0.07	-0.17	0.02	19	52%	-0.10	5	-0.17	6	83%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	26	41%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	15	49%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	1	75%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	7	33%	-0.03	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.21	-0.02	-0.03	10	36%	-0.08	7	-0.12	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	27.2	15.4	27.3	1.7	30.0	128.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.1%

POR +13.6%

POR +9.8%

POR +4.9%

POR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	POR	NBA	DET	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	18.0	15.6	92.0	95.4	102.3
season	15.7	16.0		101.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.2	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.5	17.1	15.2	13.0	14.9
POR	17.6	18.0	16.1	20.7	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	30	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	4	-10	15.2	14.7	0.51	16.3	19.0	-2.66
Dana Barros	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-6	10	13.7	16.1	-2.39	18.6	17.5	1.08
Corliss Williamson	30	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	1	-4	16.1	14.3	1.82	17.3	18.4	-1.10
Jon Barry	39	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-9	16	14.5	15.2	-0.65	20.0	16.4	3.56
Zeljko Rebraca	23	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	4	-10	16.3	14.4	1.85	17.0	18.4	-1.38
Ben Wallace	83	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-4	6	14.6	19.6	-4.99	18.0	18.5	-0.50
Chucky Atkins	45	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	4	-10	16.1	13.7	2.39	17.5	18.6	-1.08
Clifford Robinson	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-2	2	14.8	15.3	-0.55	18.4	16.4	1.96
Jerry Stackhouse	77	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	14.5	17.8	-3.34	18.0	18.3	-0.27

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	42	44	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.50	5	-3	8	18.5	17.6	0.81	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Damon Stoudamire	75	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-1	4	18.1	17.9	0.14	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Derek Anderson	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	0	2	18.1	17.9	0.18	13.9	18.4	-4.60
Rasheed Wallace	70	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-1	4	17.2	21.3	-4.05	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Dale Davis	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	-5	12	17.0	19.6	-2.55	15.3	14.3	0.97
Shawn Kemp	14	14	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	0	2	21.6	17.3	4.30	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Ruben Patterson	69	67	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	9	-16	18.9	14.8	4.04	15.1	14.4	0.68
Zach Randolph	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	3	-4	16.2	18.1	-1.95	16.6	14.8	1.80
Steve Kerr	19	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	17.9	18.1	-0.18	18.4	13.9	4.60
Rick Brunson	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	17.9	18.1	-0.14	16.7	14.6	2.14
Mitchell Butler	8	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	17.0	18.1	-1.14	15.0	14.9	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
TOR 115, SEA 123	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.96,1	94.1%