NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	80		Excitement	5.3 [740]		MVP	David West (NOH): +18.0%
New Orleans Hornets	104		Comeback	2.5 [696]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -12.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	94%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	77%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	52%	0.01	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.03	-0.07	23	38%	-0.05	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	7	100%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	13	62%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	23	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	15	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	12	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	7	21%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	30.3	16.5	23.5	1.6	30.4	130.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -9.3%

NOH +1.7%

NOH +35.5%

NOH +22.0%

NOH +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOH	NBA	PHI	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	17.5	15.7	92.0	120.9	100.5
season	16.2	16.0		96.7	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		99.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	13.7	17.9	15.7	15.8
NOH	15.0	17.7	22.1	16.3	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	54	53	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-23	22	16.4	14.7	1.70	19.2	14.8	4.34
Samuel Dalembert	52	51	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.34	-11	-13	2	16.2	15.2	0.93	18.9	15.5	3.34
Willie Green	26	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	-12	0	15.0	16.1	-1.11	15.5	18.3	-2.75
Zendon Hamilton	27	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-10	-4	12.7	17.2	-4.52	16.4	18.0	-1.58
Kenny Thomas	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-11	-2	16.4	13.5	2.89	17.9	15.9	2.00
Eric Snow	70	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-11	-2	16.1	14.6	1.41	18.4	14.1	4.24
Derrick Coleman	27	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.12	-10	-14	4	16.6	15.4	1.18	15.0	18.7	-3.69
Allen Iverson	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.24	-23	-1	-22	15.8	15.7	0.13	17.4	19.0	-1.61
Kyle Korver	33	33	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.11	-23	-1	-22	14.7	16.4	-1.70	14.8	19.2	-4.34

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	33	33	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	4	16	15.7	18.6	-2.91	17.2	14.9	2.35
David West	40	39	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	12	0	17.4	17.6	-0.23	18.0	14.0	3.97
Baron Davis	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	3	18	17.2	19.6	-2.46	15.4	17.9	-2.52
Darrell Armstrong	41	41	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	10	4	16.0	18.9	-2.91	16.3	15.3	0.92
Jamaal Magloire	64	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.34	23	1	22	18.2	15.4	2.84	15.7	16.2	-0.54
Robert Traylor	42	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	8	8	16.2	18.8	-2.56	15.4	16.1	-0.73
David Wesley	61	62	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.22	13	11	2	18.6	14.8	3.84	16.0	15.3	0.70
Shammond Williams	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	18	-12	14.4	17.7	-3.32	9.4	16.2	-6.77
Stacey Augmon	45	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	26	-28	19.7	15.2	4.50	15.3	16.3	-0.97
George Lynch	26	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	27	-30	18.0	17.3	0.74	13.5	16.8	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAS 76, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.3%