NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	5.4 [724]		MVP	Mark Blount (BOS): +17.7%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	2.3 [726]		LVP	Brandon Hunter (BOS): -10.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.05	-0.03	10	52%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	6	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03
Desmond Penigar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	28	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.04	12	58%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	10	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	7	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.02	21	62%	0.20	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.02	17	60%	0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	14	68%	0.16	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	12	61%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	7	32%	-0.08	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	29.4	15.4	21.7	1.0	28.2	125.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.6%

BOS +4.4%

BOS +13.4%

BOS +3.0%

BOS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.7	102.1	123.2	100.5
season	15.7	14.4		100.9	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		102.1	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.8	14.9	17.5	18.7	16.1
BOS	15.0	15.1	13.8	13.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.20	10	-31	41	13.9	16.7	-2.81	16.4	13.8	2.59
Desmond Penigar	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-25	29	15.1	16.6	-1.42	13.6	14.7	-1.05
Reece Gaines	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-27	33	15.1	16.2	-1.14	15.1	14.3	0.84
Sean Rooks	53	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-16	11	16.6	15.5	1.11	13.7	15.1	-1.32
DeShawn Stevenson	66	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-10	-1	16.5	15.3	1.21	14.4	14.2	0.17
Drew Gooden	41	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-6	-9	15.5	16.6	-1.11	15.4	13.4	1.98
Tyronn Lue	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.15	-17	-4	-13	15.3	17.4	-2.12	14.7	13.7	1.05
Tracy McGrady	64	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.32	-28	7	-35	17.1	14.2	2.90	14.2	14.8	-0.64
Keith Bogans	64	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.16	-24	3	-27	16.8	14.8	1.97	13.7	15.8	-2.12
Steven Hunter	68	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.14	-25	4	-29	16.2	16.0	0.19	14.2	14.8	-0.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	74	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.40	36	-15	51	13.8	16.1	-2.31	16.9	13.6	3.31
Chucky Atkins	72	70	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.34	33	-12	45	14.1	15.3	-1.21	17.1	13.3	3.82
Ricky Davis	61	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	0	21	13.6	15.6	-2.02	16.6	15.3	1.32
Paul Pierce	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	-3	27	14.5	14.0	0.51	16.9	13.5	3.43
Walter McCarty	32	32	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.28	24	-3	27	13.7	14.7	-1.00	18.1	15.1	2.96
Brandon Hunter	54	54	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	17	-13	14.6	14.0	0.61	15.1	17.5	-2.46
Jiri Welsch	47	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	18	-15	15.0	13.7	1.21	14.5	17.7	-3.21
Kendrick Perkins	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	14.8	14.3	0.48	11.7	16.3	-4.58
Michael Stewart	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	28	-35	15.1	14.3	0.84	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Jumaine Jones	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	27	-33	15.1	14.3	0.84	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Marcus Banks	23	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.22	-12	33	-45	15.3	14.1	1.21	13.3	17.1	-3.82
Chris Mihm	16	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.14	-10	31	-41	16.6	13.9	2.66	14.0	16.6	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 76, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 94, BOS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.81,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHI 80, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%