NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	5.0 [797]		MVP	Jonas Jerebko (BOS): +10.7%
Boston Celtics	115		Comeback	2.3 [888]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): -8.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Amundson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	78%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cleanthony Early	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.05	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Andrea Bargnani	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	13	49%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	7	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	7	31%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	12	33%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.04	0.11	10	91%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.03	0.05	12	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	61%	0.07	4	-0.03	11	100%	0.06
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.05	9	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	31.5	17.4	23.9	2.0	28.1	126.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.7%

BOS +2.3%

BOS +4.6%

NYK -6.5%

BOS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	15.1	94.9	115.0	104.2
season	16.1	14.3		98.5	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.0		103.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	15.1	15.7	13.6	14.9
BOS	14.8	12.6	13.1	15.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	50	51	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-20	19	13.6	16.2	-2.52	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Jason Smith	56	58	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-11	1	14.2	15.8	-1.59	14.4	13.6	0.76
Quincy Acy	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-15	9	15.5	14.6	0.88	14.3	13.9	0.43
Jose Calderon	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.22	-17	-4	-13	15.3	13.7	1.61	13.6	15.5	-1.84
Alexey Shved	40	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-14	7	14.9	14.8	0.10	14.3	13.9	0.36
Cleanthony Early	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-12	3	15.4	14.4	0.98	14.1	14.0	0.13
Langston Galloway	81	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-6	-9	14.3	17.5	-3.19	14.3	12.8	1.56
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	1	-23	15.0	14.6	0.41	13.8	14.4	-0.65
Andrea Bargnani	51	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	-3	-15	16.1	13.6	2.53	13.9	14.2	-0.32

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	59	59	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.14	28	-7	35	13.7	14.6	-0.85	15.5	14.0	1.45
Isaiah Thomas	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	0	21	13.2	15.1	-1.89	15.3	14.3	1.01
Evan Turner	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	1	19	13.6	15.4	-1.80	15.1	14.3	0.87
Marcus Smart	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.27	22	-1	23	14.7	13.1	1.58	15.1	14.6	0.50
Jonas Jerebko	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	6	9	14.5	13.8	0.68	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Avery Bradley	67	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	10	1	14.0	14.3	-0.32	15.0	14.7	0.32
Brandon Bass	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	15	-9	13.9	14.3	-0.38	15.2	14.5	0.74
Gigi Datome	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	21.1	13.5	7.62	11.1	15.2	-4.03
Phil Pressey	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	19.7	13.8	5.93	9.4	15.2	-5.78
Shavlik Randolph	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	19.7	13.8	5.93	9.4	15.2	-5.78
Gerald Wallace	15	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	21	-21	12.7	14.3	-1.56	16.6	14.6	2.04
James Young	16	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	29	-37	14.1	14.1	0.00	12.9	15.3	-2.33
Tyler Zeller	39	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	26	-31	13.8	14.2	-0.39	14.4	15.1	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.81,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SAS 76, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 90, UTA 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%