inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 92 Excitement5.5 [695] MVPJason Williams (ORL): +19.4%
Orlando Magic 117 Comeback3.1 [749] LVPMichael Redd (MIL): -9.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Ridnour0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.060.031080%0.152-0.0300%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.011159%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Hakim Warrick0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.01650%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.01-0.04750%0.052-0.032100%0.01
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.010.051949%0.001-0.02367%-0.01
Carlos Delfino-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03837%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.040.001545%-0.041-0.013100%0.01
Charlie Bell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.0550%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0000%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Michael Redd-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.011224%-0.0900.0010%-0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.150.080.047100%0.211-0.02250%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.08-0.00671%0.1500.002100%0.02
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.050.011171%0.172-0.05250%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.001669%0.195-0.104100%0.02
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.040.051165%0.091-0.031100%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02660%0.031-0.02333%-0.03
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.010.06550%-0.0500.00887%-0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.02-0.020.06657%-0.041-0.032100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00725%-0.051-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.030.116.524.51.729.6131.4
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +55.9%
ORL +8.1%
MIL -13.8%
ORL +0.6%
MIL -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILORLNBAMILORLNBA
this game16.814.115.3100.0123.2106.0
season15.515.4103.3110.1
opponent15.915.5101.9101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.515.019.317.716.8
ORL14.613.315.013.614.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson1313-0.00-0.500.500.29-10-15515.417.0-1.609.714.8-5.09
Carlos Delfino2020-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-242313.817.6-3.7813.614.2-0.61
Kurt Thomas2523-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-252517.116.60.4915.013.81.27
Michael Redd5051-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-221916.916.60.2614.613.51.13
Luc Mbah a Moute5862-0.13-0.370.240.25-13-12-117.315.81.4913.714.8-1.08
Brandon Jennings5962-0.18-0.320.130.05-8-17917.116.20.9014.213.90.27
Hakim Warrick3434-0.21-0.290.080.05-9-16716.816.80.0113.514.4-0.86
Charlie Bell1214-0.26-0.24-0.010.27-18-7-1119.416.43.0513.814.1-0.35
Ersan Ilyasova5456-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.02-9-16717.016.50.4914.513.51.01
Luke Ridnour4343-0.34-0.16-0.180.25-20-5-1516.317.2-0.8613.814.3-0.58
Andrew Bogut5459-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-15-10-516.916.50.4014.713.11.57
Jodie Meeks3838-0.47-0.03-0.430.09-19-6-1316.217.1-0.9414.413.80.61

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams49500.77-0.271.04-0.3137-124913.514.7-1.1916.916.60.30
Vince Carter57570.69-0.190.880.072141715.012.72.3317.515.52.01
Brandon Bass31320.360.140.22-0.201961314.414.00.4016.616.8-0.26
Matt Barnes47440.330.170.170.07916-714.413.70.7217.316.31.02
Dwight Howard52510.330.170.150.031015-514.014.1-0.1016.417.2-0.83
Marcin Gortat46450.240.26-0.03-0.23169714.214.00.2616.916.70.21
Mickael Pietrus49480.170.33-0.17-0.30169713.414.8-1.3116.317.3-1.02
Rashard Lewis64600.140.36-0.22-0.03619-1314.014.4-0.4016.816.60.26
JJ Redick3735-0.190.69-0.88-0.31421-1713.014.8-1.7315.517.5-2.01
Jameer Nelson4642-0.270.77-1.040.08-1237-4914.713.51.1916.616.9-0.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 90, LAL 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,194.4%
SAS 75, NYK 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%
DAL 92, NOH 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.4%