NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	6.4 [537]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +11.7%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	4.8 [454]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -21.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Bramlett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Danny Ferry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	53%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	12	62%	0.03	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.04
Andrew DeClercq	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	6	44%	-0.08	4	-0.11	6	33%	-0.09
Shawn Kemp	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.22	-0.13	-0.07	0.02	14	42%	-0.14	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.07	-0.04	26	57%	0.25	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	71%	0.11	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	8	22%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	9	20%	-0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	26.0	16.0	31.2	2.6	41.4	141.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.7%

CLE -5.0%

TOR +15.5%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	12.6	14.9	15.2	93.3	97.1	101.7
season	14.1	15.5		98.0	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.3		102.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.1	13.1	13.2	12.3	12.6
TOR	12.8	16.9	16.8	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	35	36	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.09	16	-19	35	14.5	11.7	2.77	17.6	13.5	4.01
Danny Ferry	18	16	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	11.1	13.0	-1.84	17.4	14.5	2.96
Wesley Person	59	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-11	19	12.7	12.6	0.09	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Andre Miller	26	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	3	-9	16.6	11.3	5.24	14.5	15.1	-0.54
A.J. Bramlett	3	2	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	5	-13	13.0	12.6	0.37	18.0	14.9	3.13
Brevin Knight	79	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-6	9	11.3	16.6	-5.24	15.1	14.5	0.54
Cedric Henderson	47	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	0	-3	14.3	11.3	3.04	15.9	14.2	1.72
Andrew DeClercq	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	6	-15	12.6	12.8	-0.19	15.1	14.5	0.64
Shawn Kemp	57	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	1	-5	12.6	12.7	-0.17	13.6	16.7	-3.08
Lamond Murray	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	3	-9	11.3	14.7	-3.42	14.0	16.4	-2.47
Bob Sura	64	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	5	-13	12.2	13.2	-0.99	14.3	15.9	-1.53

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	42	45	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.38	12	-9	21	14.1	15.5	-1.44	11.6	13.4	-1.86
Vince Carter	99	101	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.32	10	-7	17	14.7	19.4	-4.69	12.7	10.2	2.48
Tracy McGrady	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	15.5	14.5	1.01	12.8	12.5	0.32
Dell Curry	46	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.43	-3	6	-9	14.5	15.3	-0.85	13.3	12.1	1.19
John Thomas	20	19	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	-1	5	15.9	14.7	1.26	14.4	12.2	2.18
Charles Oakley	78	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	5	-7	14.4	16.6	-2.24	11.8	15.2	-3.36
Kevin Willis	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	-1	5	17.6	13.6	4.02	12.3	12.8	-0.44
Dee Brown	52	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	3	-3	15.9	14.0	1.94	13.3	12.0	1.26
Antonio Davis	45	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	6	-9	13.8	15.8	-2.04	13.5	12.0	1.57
Doug Christie	57	58	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	8	-13	14.2	15.8	-1.60	11.8	13.7	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.52,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.6,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%
OKC 103, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.7%
NJN 68, CHA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.6%