NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	129		Excitement	9.2 [125]		MVP	Malik Monk (CHA): +55.1%
Miami Heat	121		Comeback	132.3 [6]		LVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): -18.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.31	0.30	0.06	18	88%	0.66	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Devonte' Graham	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33	0.19	0.15	0.01	13	77%	0.35	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.10	0.02	14	63%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Cody Zeller	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	15	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Miles Bridges	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
P.J. Washington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	12	25%	-0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	-0.00	11	86%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	15	68%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.01	7	56%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	17	57%	0.21	3	-0.12	10	70%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.04	0.03	8	84%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.01	10	50%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	9	17%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	28.7	14.8	27.4	1.7	29.4	2.6	19.5	153.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +41.2%

CHA +5.9%

MIA -2.5%

CHA +9.3%

MIA -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIA	NBA	CHA	MIA	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	14.4	119.4	113.1	111.3
season	14.2	14.6		109.4	109.3
opponent	14.9	14.7		110.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.8	14.3	15.9	18.4	14.8	15.9
MIA	11.8	13.3	15.4	15.2	12.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	82	82	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.45	18	-10	28	15.7	16.3	-0.53	14.6	10.8	3.73
Devonte' Graham	80	79	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-7	22	16.1	15.2	0.84	14.3	12.0	2.26
Malik Monk	82	80	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.12	20	-12	32	16.1	15.2	0.89	13.4	14.6	-1.24
Miles Bridges	54	52	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.09	14	-6	20	16.7	15.0	1.70	14.2	13.2	1.07
Cody Zeller	82	81	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.37	-9	17	-26	15.8	16.1	-0.27	13.5	14.2	-0.65
LaMelo Ball	66	67	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	14	-20	15.5	16.4	-0.84	13.3	14.4	-1.20
P.J. Washington	52	53	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	14	-20	14.7	16.9	-2.23	12.7	14.7	-2.02
Caleb Martin	42	41	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.05	-6	14	-20	16.3	15.6	0.64	13.1	14.1	-0.98

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Strus	43	44	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.15	7	-15	22	11.7	15.0	-3.27	15.2	16.3	-1.16
Andre Iguodala	55	52	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-12	16	13.1	14.3	-1.14	16.6	15.2	1.44
Duncan Robinson	54	56	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-10	12	14.7	12.6	2.10	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Kelly Olynyk	46	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	14.1	13.4	0.75	15.1	16.5	-1.39
Precious Achiuwa	25	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	13.5	13.8	-0.29	17.7	15.3	2.45
Bam Adebayo	80	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-6	4	13.9	13.0	0.89	15.6	16.7	-1.14
Goran Dragic	51	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	12.2	15.1	-2.88	16.1	15.7	0.36
Jimmy Butler	74	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	-1	-6	14.5	11.8	2.68	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Tyler Herro	65	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	1	-10	15.2	11.3	3.94	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Avery Bradley	42	42	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.51	-14	6	-20	12.3	14.6	-2.29	16.1	15.7	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.55,0.69,0.56,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.83,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.97,0.9,0.87,0.54,0.61,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	88.2%
ORL 121, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.54,0.7,0.85,0.61,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.85,0.46,0.45,0.11,0.1,0.41,0	88.2%
OKC 110, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.98,0.54,0.53,0.28,0.15,0.09,0	87.8%