inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 129 Excitement9.2 [125] MVPMalik Monk (CHA): +55.1%
Miami Heat 121 Comeback132.3 [6] LVPGoran Dragic (MIA): -18.0%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Monk0.550,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.550.310.300.061888%0.662-0.115100%0.02
Devonte' Graham0.330,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.330.190.150.011377%0.351-0.02580%0.01
Gordon Hayward0.140,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.100.021463%0.212-0.07250%-0.00
Cody Zeller0.090,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.050.011556%0.121-0.03475%0.01
LaMelo Ball-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.001150%0.003-0.046100%0.02
Miles Bridges-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.01839%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Caleb Martin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.060.00440%-0.0600.00250%-0.03
P.J. Washington-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.031225%-0.061-0.0700%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.160.03-0.001186%0.221-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.120.090.021568%0.221-0.03475%0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.020.14-0.01756%0.191-0.0220%-0.04
Jimmy Butler0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.090.090.030.04-0.031757%0.213-0.121070%0.01
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.01779%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.040.03884%0.082-0.04367%-0.00
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.00340%-0.0400.00450%-0.02
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.03-0.13-0.011050%-0.063-0.092100%0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.15-0.04-0.01917%-0.093-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.01.828.714.827.41.729.42.619.5153.0
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +41.2%
CHA +5.9%
MIA -2.5%
CHA +9.3%
MIA -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMIANBACHAMIANBA
this game15.913.714.4119.4113.1111.3
season14.214.6109.4109.3
opponent14.914.7110.4111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHA15.814.315.918.414.815.9
MIA11.813.315.415.212.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordon Hayward82820.98-0.481.450.4518-102815.716.3-0.5314.610.83.73
Devonte' Graham80790.77-0.271.040.3315-72216.115.20.8414.312.02.26
Malik Monk82800.70-0.200.910.1220-123216.115.20.8913.414.6-1.24
Miles Bridges54520.330.170.15-0.0914-62016.715.01.7014.213.21.07
Cody Zeller82810.100.40-0.290.37-917-2615.816.1-0.2713.514.2-0.65
LaMelo Ball66670.000.50-0.490.18-614-2015.516.4-0.8413.314.4-1.20
P.J. Washington5253-0.160.66-0.810.02-614-2014.716.9-2.2312.714.7-2.02
Caleb Martin4241-0.230.73-0.95-0.05-614-2016.315.60.6413.114.1-0.98

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Max Strus43440.36-0.861.210.157-152211.715.0-3.2715.216.3-1.16
Andre Iguodala55520.10-0.600.71-0.014-121613.114.3-1.1416.615.21.44
Duncan Robinson54560.09-0.590.680.032-101214.712.62.1015.716.0-0.25
Kelly Olynyk4647-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-4014.113.40.7515.116.5-1.39
Precious Achiuwa2526-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-2-413.513.8-0.2917.715.32.45
Bam Adebayo8080-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.24-2-6413.913.00.8915.616.7-1.14
Goran Dragic5152-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.17-113-1412.215.1-2.8816.115.70.36
Jimmy Butler7475-0.510.01-0.51-0.30-7-1-614.511.82.6815.915.9-0.01
Tyler Herro6566-0.530.03-0.55-0.26-91-1015.211.33.9415.716.1-0.41
Avery Bradley4242-0.920.42-1.33-0.51-146-2012.314.6-2.2916.115.70.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.55,0.69,0.56,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.83,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 98, DET 950.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.97,0.9,0.87,0.54,0.61,0.07,0.06,0.02,088.2%
ORL 121, MIA 1140.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.54,0.7,0.85,0.61,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.85,0.46,0.45,0.11,0.1,0.41,088.2%
OKC 110, PHI 1050.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.98,0.54,0.53,0.28,0.15,0.09,087.8%