inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 121 Excitement11.4 [26] MVPDaequan Cook (MIA): +66.1%
Miami Heat 114 Comeback26.0 [53] LVPRicky Davis (MIA): -27.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.230,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.23-0.060.290.012040%0.251-0.023100%0.03
Carlos Arroyo0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.3,0.19,0.190.010.18-0.001146%0.1900.00667%0.08
Hedo Turkoglu0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.150.040.110.001858%0.253-0.102100%0.07
Dwight Howard0.150,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.150.140.060.051571%0.243-0.091182%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.03-0.02671%0.132-0.052100%0.02
Maurice Evans0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00571%0.173-0.11475%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.03550%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Adonal Foyle0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Augustine0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.04-0.001254%0.022-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.66,0.660.660.040.60-0.02961%0.681-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.560.560.230.340.012174%0.725-0.162370%0.10
Dorell Wright0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.011354%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.06-0.011652%0.061-0.081100%0.01
Luke Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00538%-0.0300.003100%0.02
Earl Barron0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27-0.27-0.03-0.230.011550%-0.073-0.20475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.22.628.415.628.31.844.12.313.9164.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -29.8%
ORL +23.5%
ORL +59.3%
MIA -7.9%
ORL +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game16.315.015.4118.6112.9105.7
season15.116.0109.999.0
opponent15.415.6108.3104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL15.719.215.814.616.916.3
MIA14.316.016.914.811.415.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard86850.78-0.281.060.2817-102715.421.1-5.7515.413.41.99
Rashard Lewis87870.75-0.251.000.2218-112915.620.3-4.6815.015.5-0.52
Carlos Arroyo59580.71-0.210.930.4210-31317.015.31.6815.115.00.09
Keith Bogans68700.350.150.210.50-512-1717.014.92.0414.815.6-0.86
Hedo Turkoglu87880.170.33-0.160.37-714-2116.614.52.0414.717.2-2.42
Keyon Dooling34310.030.47-0.44-0.2911-41513.117.9-4.7816.814.32.49
Jameer Nelson37360.020.48-0.470.0207-716.416.20.2114.515.3-0.81
Maurice Evans3634-0.030.53-0.56-0.0616-517.615.52.1115.514.80.68
James Augustine77-0.110.61-0.73-0.05-29-1116.116.3-0.1412.415.2-2.82
Adonal Foyle99-0.170.67-0.830.07-815-2325.015.49.5714.115.1-1.03

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Barron32320.46-0.961.420.0514-213514.315.4-1.1216.916.00.97
Luke Jackson36360.19-0.690.870.30-4-3-116.814.12.7715.816.5-0.77
Mark Blount1211-0.14-0.360.220.10-81-917.214.82.4015.516.4-0.82
Dwyane Wade99100-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.33-2-5315.018.0-3.0116.315.01.30
Ricky Davis98100-0.560.06-0.61-0.32-81-914.725.3-10.6016.314.02.32
Udonis Haslem9193-0.620.12-0.73-0.38-81-915.214.11.0516.316.00.30
Daequan Cook5659-0.700.20-0.90-0.26-158-2315.115.00.1715.916.7-0.81
Dorell Wright8179-0.740.24-0.99-0.63-4-3-114.517.1-2.6216.515.60.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.54,0.7,0.85,0.61,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.85,0.46,0.45,0.11,0.1,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 98, DET 950.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.97,0.9,0.87,0.54,0.61,0.07,0.06,0.02,090.2%
MEM 100, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.02,0.08,089.5%
DET 93, PHI 890.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.42,088.5%