NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	10.1 [63]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +58.4%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	31.9 [36]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -49.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.58	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.28,0.28,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58	0.06	0.48	-0.04	10	65%	0.61	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.00	9	61%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	0.00	6	36%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	11	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	9	28%	-0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.01	-0.22	0.03	8	61%	0.04	3	-0.30	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.50	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.48,-0.54,-0.45,-0.45,-0.47,-0.5	-0.16	-0.34	0.00	21	34%	-0.34	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.15	-0.02	17	65%	0.37	5	-0.12	12	67%	-0.05
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.14	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	17	38%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	9	48%	-0.05	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	17	38%	-0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	12	29%	-0.20	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.3	14.8	23.2	2.5	36.2	2.6	14.7	144.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +66.9%

DET -8.0%

DET -7.3%

DET -0.2%

DET -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	14.5	14.7	91.6	87.2	107.5
season	15.1	14.9		106.6	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.6		106.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	15.7	17.0	15.5	12.4	14.1	15.0
DET	14.9	13.6	14.5	14.3	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	54	53	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.57	6	-3	9	14.7	15.3	-0.56	14.3	14.6	-0.32
Ricky Rubio	73	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-4	11	15.1	14.7	0.45	14.9	13.3	1.64
Joe Ingles	71	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-4	11	15.0	15.0	0.01	15.1	13.2	1.91
Rudy Gobert	74	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	0	3	15.3	14.3	0.98	14.9	13.5	1.42
Donovan Mitchell	84	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	1	1	15.5	13.0	2.58	14.7	13.4	1.29
Alec Burks	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	1	1	14.4	15.2	-0.82	13.8	14.7	-0.88
Raul Neto	24	22	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	3	-3	13.3	15.5	-2.18	13.4	14.7	-1.33
Derrick Favors	60	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	2	-1	14.5	15.6	-1.13	14.0	15.0	-0.96
Royce O'Neale	38	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	12	-21	14.7	15.1	-0.46	12.4	15.5	-3.15
Jonas Jerebko	34	37	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.34	-3	6	-9	15.6	14.7	0.89	14.1	14.7	-0.54

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boban Marjanovic	28	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	13.9	14.7	-0.82	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Langston Galloway	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	15.3	14.0	1.32	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Luke Kennard	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-10	17	13.7	15.2	-1.56	15.3	14.6	0.71
Anthony Tolliver	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-9	15	12.1	15.3	-3.17	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Stanley Johnson	84	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	3	-9	14.4	14.6	-0.22	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Ish Smith	68	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-2	1	14.0	15.3	-1.32	15.1	14.8	0.32
Andre Drummond	81	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	0	-3	14.7	13.9	0.82	15.3	14.2	1.04
Tobias Harris	80	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	6	-15	15.3	12.1	3.17	15.1	14.7	0.39
Avery Bradley	82	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	4	-11	15.0	12.7	2.30	15.4	13.8	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.97,0.9,0.87,0.54,0.61,0.07,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 121, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.54,0.7,0.85,0.61,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.85,0.46,0.45,0.11,0.1,0.41,0	90.2%
SEA 114, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.93,0.98,1,0.46,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.04,0	88.2%
MIN 106, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.15,0	88.1%