NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	133		Excitement	9.0 [182]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +30.3%
Sacramento Kings	129		Comeback	4.3 [70]		LVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): -21.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.01	0.26	0.02	19	60%	0.41	6	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Ian Clark	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.00	0.04	21	69%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kenrich Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.01	8	75%	0.22	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.01	12	54%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.03	0.03	14	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.17	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dairis Bertans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	14	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.3	0.30	0.20	0.17	0.06	18	69%	0.30	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.13	-0.01	15	53%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.00	0.05	8	94%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	18	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	18	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	15	40%	-0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	22.6	15.4	27.5	2.5	29.5	122.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +71.4%

NOP +1.1%

NOP +3.7%

SAC -29.5%

NOP +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAC	NBA	NOP	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	12.6	14.3	125.5	119.4	109.3
season	13.4	13.3		110.2	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		110.5	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.3	14.3	15.0	16.0	14.3
SAC	11.3	13.4	12.7	13.4	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahlil Okafor	82	82	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.40	21	-17	38	13.7	16.4	-2.70	12.6	12.7	-0.01
Kenrich Williams	65	66	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.49	16	-12	28	13.4	15.7	-2.24	12.3	13.2	-0.89
Elfrid Payton	88	90	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-9	22	14.0	15.8	-1.87	12.6	13.0	-0.42
Cheick Diallo	60	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.34	-4	8	-12	14.7	13.7	1.08	13.8	11.1	2.64
Ian Clark	82	82	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	-1	6	14.0	15.4	-1.47	12.8	12.3	0.45
Dairis Bertans	42	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	13	-22	15.6	13.4	2.17	12.4	12.8	-0.39
Christian Wood	54	55	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.12	-2	6	-8	15.3	13.2	2.03	11.3	14.1	-2.77
Solomon Hill	57	58	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	0.06	-20	24	-44	14.7	13.8	0.94	13.3	11.9	1.32

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yogi Ferrell	42	42	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.08	11	-15	26	13.1	12.4	0.73	15.0	13.8	1.15
Bogdan Bogdanovic	61	60	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-18	32	13.4	11.7	1.67	14.9	13.5	1.34
Harrison Barnes	83	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.30	5	-9	14	12.0	14.7	-2.70	14.5	13.4	1.17
Marvin Bagley III	68	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-11	18	12.8	12.4	0.43	14.8	13.4	1.46
Willie Cauley-Stein	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	4	-12	12.8	12.6	0.18	13.6	14.8	-1.15
Corey Brewer	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	0	-4	15.3	11.7	3.64	12.7	14.8	-2.08
Troy Williams	7	6	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	5	-14	17.4	12.3	5.11	11.5	14.4	-2.95
De'Aaron Fox	81	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	3	-10	12.1	14.3	-2.15	14.4	13.9	0.53
Nemanja Bjelica	51	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	14	-32	11.9	13.4	-1.49	13.3	15.2	-1.86
Buddy Hield	73	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	7	-18	11.9	14.2	-2.30	14.4	14.1	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.29,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.15,0	90.6%
DAL 102, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.44,0.08,0	89.9%
SEA 91, NOH 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.53,0.39,0.11,0.01,0,0	88.8%