inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 106 Excitement7.9 [241] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +34.1%
Boston Celtics 103 Comeback4.3 [169] LVPMike James (BOS): -18.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.340,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.3,0.3,0.340.080.270.00787%0.403-0.061090%0.07
Chucky Atkins0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.07-0.00856%0.121-0.0400%0.00
Mehmet Okur0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.11-0.050.011270%0.0500.00683%0.01
Bob Sura0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.030.010.02-0.00557%0.0300.00475%0.02
Ben Wallace0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.030.000.040.01954%0.0300.00875%0.04
Darvin Ham-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03-0.080.04-0.01831%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.080.00469%0.053-0.175100%0.04
Richard Hamilton-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14-0.13-0.07-0.061542%-0.013-0.141090%0.05

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.09,0.090.090.09-0.01-0.001073%0.211-0.126100%0.05
Mark Blount0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.02-0.06955%0.103-0.074100%0.03
Brandon Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00636%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Chris Mihm0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.04-0.080.01873%0.052-0.106100%0.05
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011758%0.075-0.131191%0.06
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.02743%0.043-0.1000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00650%-0.012-0.06475%0.01
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.19-0.19-0.04-0.15-0.00950%-0.103-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.22.329.716.324.71.741.3145.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +25.4%
DET +9.0%
BOS -9.3%
DET +19.7%
DET +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETBOSNBADETBOSNBA
this game14.814.315.7107.1104.0100.5
season16.214.499.299.5
opponent15.916.0102.192.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.816.014.913.414.8
BOS12.315.314.515.414.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton81800.68-0.180.870.429-61513.918.5-4.5714.214.7-0.43
Ben Wallace81800.50-0.000.510.4230314.615.5-0.9114.314.30.02
Chauncey Billups69700.470.030.430.4412-115.014.30.7013.815.6-1.82
Tayshaun Prince63630.360.140.230.3312-114.115.9-1.7813.416.0-2.66
Mehmet Okur65630.240.26-0.010.2112-116.211.94.2914.314.30.00
Bob Sura37360.150.35-0.200.1503-314.415.0-0.6515.313.81.57
Corliss Williamson34360.140.36-0.220.1403-315.114.60.5915.413.71.66
Elden Campbell14150.050.45-0.39-0.0430311.915.2-3.2913.914.4-0.47
Darvin Ham1819-0.000.50-0.51-0.0003-315.514.60.9114.314.3-0.02
Chucky Atkins3333-0.100.60-0.70-0.01-36-915.914.21.7715.513.81.68

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Hunter10100.03-0.530.550.030-3314.914.30.6322.513.98.61
Ricky Davis5252-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-41-515.213.41.8515.014.40.59
Mike James6867-0.18-0.320.13-0.4810-132313.216.8-3.6014.315.8-1.51
Walter McCarty5251-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-30-313.715.0-1.2312.317.4-5.12
Jiri Welsch7171-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.467-101713.516.6-3.1214.615.1-0.44
Marcus Banks3435-0.38-0.12-0.250.09-1613-2916.913.03.9714.814.70.07
Chris Mihm5558-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.36-1-2115.113.41.7017.111.45.66
Mark Blount7978-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.31-30-314.314.4-0.1513.818.2-4.36
Paul Pierce7473-0.590.09-0.68-0.44-52-714.214.7-0.5214.914.30.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 95, NOP 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.15,091.5%
DAL 102, DEN 1010.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.44,0.08,091.2%
ATL 101, CHH 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.15,091.1%