NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	7.5 [334]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): +25.3%
Charlotte Hornets	95		Comeback	2.7 [157]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -20.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18	0.06	0.07	-0.05	16	62%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.09	0.01	11	75%	0.22	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.08
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	18	69%	0.25	4	-0.10	12	92%	0.06
Nazr Mohammed	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	83%	0.19	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leon Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	39%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.17	-0.04	18	60%	0.30	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.11
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.10	-0.03	18	42%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	75%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	12	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	36%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.20	-0.04	-0.03	9	23%	-0.11	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.3	26.6	15.6	25.2	1.7	29.0	129.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +34.6%

ATL +23.7%

CHH -19.0%

ATL +11.3%

CHH -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHH	NBA	ATL	CHH	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.6	113.5	104.4	102.3
season	15.5	15.9		99.7	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.7	12.9	16.9	16.6	15.4
CHH	15.0	15.9	17.4	18.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	82	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-6	18	14.8	21.7	-6.97	17.2	10.7	6.57
Ira Newble	39	41	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	0	6	15.1	15.7	-0.58	18.5	15.0	3.42
Nazr Mohammed	63	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	2	2	15.0	16.4	-1.44	18.2	13.0	5.23
Jason Terry	70	73	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	0	6	16.0	13.3	2.66	17.0	15.1	1.90
DerMarr Johnson	81	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	1	4	15.1	18.9	-3.81	16.6	16.0	0.65
Toni Kukoc	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	-2	10	15.0	15.8	-0.83	15.2	17.8	-2.54
Leon Smith	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	20.6	15.1	5.50	7.2	17.1	-9.93
Hanno Mottola	29	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	6	-6	17.2	14.5	2.62	13.2	18.4	-5.19
Jacque Vaughn	34	35	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.16	-7	13	-20	16.0	15.1	0.92	15.1	17.5	-2.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	36	37	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.05	9	-15	24	13.6	18.5	-4.92	16.3	14.7	1.57
Robert Traylor	15	15	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-13	20	14.5	17.0	-2.45	18.1	14.9	3.20
George Lynch	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-1	-4	19.9	16.2	3.73	11.7	15.9	-4.17
Elden Campbell	42	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-4	2	16.7	16.5	0.16	14.5	16.2	-1.74
David Wesley	52	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	0	-6	15.8	17.6	-1.81	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Stacey Augmon	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-5	4	16.8	16.2	0.59	15.6	15.1	0.49
Jamaal Magloire	49	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	16.5	16.7	-0.16	16.2	14.5	1.74
P.J. Brown	66	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	16.5	16.7	-0.13	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Baron Davis	52	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.37	-7	1	-8	18.3	14.3	4.03	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Jamal Mashburn	82	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	7	-20	17.1	11.7	5.46	15.1	17.3	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, NOP 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.15,0	91.6%
DET 106, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.15,0	91.1%
PHX 97, HOU 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.65,0.08,0	91.0%