NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	8.3 [208]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): +11.3%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	2.2 [649]		LVP	Dan Majerle (PHX): -22.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,0.09,0.11	-0.01	0.12	-0.01	21	59%	0.27	4	-0.16	14	93%	0.06
Jake Voskuhl	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alton Ford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	0.00	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	4	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.18	-0.03	4	10%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	27	57%	0.16	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.06
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	70%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	21	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	4	60%	-0.00	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Terence Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	9	11%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.16	0.00	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	30.2	16.7	23.3	1.7	34.2	129.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.8%

PHX +10.0%

PHX +9.4%

PHX +5.2%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.1	18.2	15.6	106.6	97.8	102.3
season	15.1	16.8		101.0	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		106.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	12.8	12.5	13.5	13.1
HOU	19.1	19.1	16.8	17.8	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	65	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-4	14	12.8	13.8	-1.02	17.7	19.4	-1.74
Stephon Marbury	85	87	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	3	0	13.1	13.3	-0.27	17.4	28.7	-11.22
Bo Outlaw	58	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	-3	12	13.1	13.1	-0.02	19.1	16.5	2.52
Rodney Rogers	62	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	0	6	13.2	12.8	0.47	19.4	15.4	4.03
Dan Majerle	46	48	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	4	-2	13.5	12.7	0.77	18.8	17.5	1.24
John Wallace	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	-4	14	13.1	13.1	-0.02	17.4	18.3	-0.89
Tom Gugliotta	31	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	6	-6	13.1	13.1	-0.02	15.9	19.3	-3.35
Shawn Marion	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	7	-8	12.4	13.5	-1.12	16.6	19.0	-2.47
Jake Voskuhl	29	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	10	-14	12.8	13.2	-0.47	16.2	19.0	-2.85
Tony Delk	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	7	-8	11.2	13.2	-1.91	37.0	17.3	19.67
Alton Ford	26	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	10	-14	14.4	12.5	1.88	19.9	17.5	2.47

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Morris	61	61	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.15	8	-14	22	17.7	19.0	-1.31	13.3	12.6	0.71
Tierre Brown	16	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	17.1	18.4	-1.26	12.4	13.2	-0.77
Dan Langhi	4	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-1	-4	22.7	18.0	4.78	13.7	13.1	0.61
Kevin Willis	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	18.7	18.1	0.57	12.9	13.1	-0.19
Kelvin Cato	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-8	10	18.2	18.1	0.16	12.3	14.0	-1.66
Kenny Thomas	50	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	3	-12	18.1	18.2	-0.07	14.1	12.0	2.09
Cuttino Mobley	87	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-5	4	18.1	19.0	-0.89	13.1	12.8	0.26
Eddie Griffin	81	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-4	2	18.1	18.7	-0.57	13.1	12.9	0.19
Moochie Norris	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	18.4	17.1	1.26	13.2	12.4	0.77
Oscar Torres	29	29	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	7	-20	18.6	18.0	0.60	12.1	13.5	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.65,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.43,0.16,0	91.3%
MIA 102, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.45,0.02,0	91.1%
ATL 101, CHH 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.15,0	91.0%