NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	110		Excitement	9.0 [151]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +24.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	2.0 [773]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (OKC): -12.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24	0.09	0.15	-0.00	11	73%	0.31	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.06
Chris Paul	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.00	14	52%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	12	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	20	53%	0.14	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	41%	0.04	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Marreese Speights	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.00	7	29%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	55%	0.12	3	-0.08	12	50%	-0.16
Wesley Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.01	5	120%	0.24	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	11	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	25	49%	0.12	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.07
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.14	0.00	10	65%	0.05	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	18	46%	-0.04	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.4	15.4	25.8	1.6	47.6	144.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.8%

OKC -23.6%

LAC +0.3%

LAC +24.2%

OKC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	14.8	108.9	109.1	107.7
season	15.0	14.0		110.8	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	15.9	16.2	13.0	15.0
OKC	12.6	14.7	14.4	13.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	73	70	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-8	18	14.5	16.2	-1.64	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Chris Paul	77	75	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-4	10	14.5	16.6	-2.09	13.7	14.2	-0.60
Blake Griffin	78	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-4	10	14.3	17.4	-3.17	13.7	14.3	-0.68
JJ Redick	59	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-11	24	14.3	16.0	-1.69	13.7	13.9	-0.13
Jamal Crawford	42	42	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	3	-4	16.1	14.2	1.97	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	70	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	-2	6	14.0	17.3	-3.27	13.7	13.9	-0.20
Wesley Johnson	23	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	3	-4	16.7	14.5	2.21	14.5	13.6	0.88
Raymond Felton	22	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	7	-12	17.1	14.4	2.69	14.2	13.7	0.55
Austin Rivers	36	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.23	-13	15	-28	16.1	14.4	1.79	13.9	13.8	0.09
Marreese Speights	25	26	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.11	-9	11	-20	17.6	14.1	3.42	14.6	13.5	1.11

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	25	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-5	8	14.0	13.7	0.27	16.4	14.5	1.89
Semaj Christon	36	36	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-6	10	15.1	13.0	2.06	17.0	13.9	3.17
Nick Collison	11	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	0	-2	12.6	13.9	-1.31	13.0	15.3	-2.28
Alex Abrines	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-8	14	14.7	13.5	1.21	15.4	14.8	0.58
Enes Kanter	42	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.22	5	-7	12	14.8	13.1	1.76	15.1	14.9	0.22
Andre Roberson	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	6	-14	13.8	13.8	-0.07	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Domantas Sabonis	57	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	1	-4	13.2	14.7	-1.51	15.8	13.8	2.01
Steven Adams	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	2	-6	13.7	14.0	-0.34	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Victor Oladipo	80	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	4	-10	13.5	15.2	-1.68	14.9	15.4	-0.47
Russell Westbrook	77	79	-0.59	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	3	-8	13.4	15.4	-2.01	14.1	18.3	-4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 110, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.05,0	92.9%
ATL 114, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.01,0	91.8%
OKC 95, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.27,0.13,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.05,0	91.7%