inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 110 Excitement6.8 [448] MVPMike Miller (MEM): +9.3%
Orlando Magic 104 Comeback2.1 [221] LVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): -17.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.01970%0.0900.002100%0.01
Pau Gasol0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.090.050.070.031667%0.173-0.08786%0.02
Jason Williams0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.060.010.04-0.011557%0.153-0.0900%0.00
Shane Battier0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.010.03-0.011154%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Lorenzen Wright0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.011165%0.092-0.05475%0.00
Ryan Humphrey0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Wesley Person0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.020.05-0.020.011162%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Mike Batiste-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.02633%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Earl Watson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.0150%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.0010%-0.024-0.1100%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01855%0.041-0.044100%0.03
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeryl Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.021656%0.073-0.09250%-0.02
Shawn Kemp0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00329%-0.0400.0010%-0.01
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05-0.050.01-0.07-0.021463%0.134-0.17250%-0.03
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00267%-0.003-0.062100%0.01
Tracy McGrady0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.06-0.130.042360%-0.062-0.051182%-0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.07-0.070.04750%-0.054-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.726.116.523.52.432.0126.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +29.5%
ORL -4.2%
MEM +10.7%
MEM +14.7%
ORL -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMORLNBAMEMORLNBA
this game16.013.115.5111.1105.1101.6
season15.314.6101.8102.7
opponent15.815.2103.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.717.514.816.216.0
ORL11.515.914.611.113.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams74740.80-0.301.100.3615-92415.218.4-3.1412.514.8-2.25
Lorenzen Wright65650.73-0.230.960.3214-82216.614.81.8114.310.73.62
Pau Gasol85850.72-0.220.940.3413-72015.518.9-3.3212.417.2-4.81
Wesley Person74740.56-0.060.630.2710-41415.318.2-2.9813.013.3-0.27
Shane Battier74750.54-0.040.580.279-31215.816.8-1.0012.614.6-2.04
Mike Miller33330.010.49-0.470.04-17-815.316.4-1.0613.113.10.06
Earl Watson2525-0.060.56-0.630.05-410-1418.215.32.9813.313.00.27
Mike Batiste3030-0.240.74-0.99-0.01-814-2217.115.51.5612.913.1-0.21
Ryan Humphrey109-0.250.75-1.010.01-915-2416.915.90.9915.012.92.11
Brevin Knight2525-0.300.80-1.10-0.04-915-2418.415.23.1414.812.52.25

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeryl Sasser13140.09-0.590.68-0.034-101417.312.44.8719.815.44.40
Andrew DeClercq43410.07-0.570.640.012-81013.712.61.1316.715.51.15
Steven Hunter3332-0.09-0.410.33-0.111-7814.312.51.8317.115.51.60
Jacque Vaughn2828-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-2-213.313.00.3414.716.5-1.81
Chris Whitney4950-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-5-1-413.612.51.0916.116.00.10
Shawn Kemp1617-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.06-71-814.612.81.8415.516.1-0.65
Darrell Armstrong6162-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-3-3012.613.8-1.1516.315.50.79
Tracy McGrady8987-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.38-1-5412.617.6-5.0315.917.2-1.32
Gordan Giricek7778-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.31-5-1-412.315.8-3.5215.517.9-2.34
Pat Garrity8686-0.680.18-0.87-0.33-126-1812.516.8-4.3315.618.9-3.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 94, SAS 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.04,093.4%
LAC 110, OKC 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.43,0.16,092.9%
SEA 93, MEM 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.05,092.8%