NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	6.3 [547]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +18.3%
New Orleans Hornets	80		Comeback	3.0 [154]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -23.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.05	0.03	16	76%	0.20	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	5	25%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	14	58%	0.07	4	-0.16	5	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	2	25%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	5	55%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	16	35%	-0.02	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	24	45%	-0.09	4	-0.14	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	23.5	15.6	24.2	2.6	33.0	126.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +36.4%

SEA +6.8%

SEA +16.3%

NOH -9.7%

SEA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NOH	NBA	SEA	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	17.5	15.7	104.6	93.0	100.5
season	15.6	16.0		105.0	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		99.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	19.6	14.3	15.3	15.8
NOH	15.0	20.4	16.4	19.0	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	75	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-5	21	16.4	12.2	4.14	18.1	13.3	4.83
Rashard Lewis	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	2	7	15.2	17.9	-2.77	16.7	20.1	-3.47
Brent Barry	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	15.4	16.4	-0.98	17.2	17.9	-0.63
Ronald Murray	44	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	2	7	15.8	15.9	-0.09	17.7	17.3	0.35
Vitaly Potapenko	56	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	8	-5	15.6	16.1	-0.49	17.5	17.5	0.03
Jerome James	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	3	5	16.1	15.6	0.49	17.8	17.3	0.55
Reggie Evans	23	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	7	-3	15.3	16.0	-0.64	16.7	17.8	-1.14
Calvin Booth	0	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	0.0	15.8	-15.82	6.0	17.6	-11.62
Antonio Daniels	31	30	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	12	-13	16.4	15.5	0.84	17.7	17.4	0.27
Vladimir Radmanovic	54	53	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	14	-17	16.1	15.3	0.78	18.0	16.7	1.28

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	13	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-6	1	16.8	17.6	-0.76	16.6	15.7	0.90
Robert Traylor	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-7	3	20.6	16.7	3.88	18.0	15.2	2.75
Steven Smith	16	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-8	5	16.6	17.7	-1.06	12.6	16.7	-4.04
David West	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-8	5	18.5	17.1	1.45	15.6	15.9	-0.25
Stacey Augmon	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-7	3	17.3	17.7	-0.35	16.4	15.2	1.19
David Wesley	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	17.6	17.2	0.39	17.2	12.8	4.35
Darrell Armstrong	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	17.6	17.3	0.34	15.5	16.3	-0.88
P.J. Brown	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	17.6	17.3	0.30	16.0	15.5	0.45
Jamaal Magloire	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	16.7	20.6	-3.88	15.2	18.0	-2.75
Baron Davis	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-5	-1	17.3	19.5	-2.22	15.2	21.5	-6.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.53,0.39,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.33,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	92.3%
OKC 112, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.16,0.01,0,0	91.9%
ORL 93, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.05,0,0	91.7%