inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 88 Excitement3.2 [1164] MVPBojan Bogdanovic (IND): +31.9%
Indiana Pacers 124 Comeback1.2 [639] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -17.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.000.03692%0.0800.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.011656%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Malik Beasley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.00-0.06629%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02367%0.0020.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06517%0.0000.002100%0.00
Trey Lyles-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06517%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Torrey Craig-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01450%-0.001-0.002100%0.01
Monte Morris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.031346%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Will Barton-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.021358%0.034-0.0600%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.02250%0.033-0.074100%0.02
Paul Millsap-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00833%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Jamal Murray-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.20-0.01-0.041217%-0.104-0.0800%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.350.010.041697%0.3200.004100%0.01
Myles Turner0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.001552%0.041-0.013100%0.01
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.01-0.00850%0.0200.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.010.04757%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alize Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022100%0.0010.0000%0.00
TJ Leaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02362%0.0000.00250%0.00
Edmond Sumner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.060.000.07861%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.001354%0.033-0.05250%-0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01657%0.033-0.062100%0.01
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.01955%-0.013-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.41.728.114.424.72.429.6124.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +40.4%
DEN -3.7%
IND +2.1%
IND +10.7%
IND +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENINDNBADENINDNBA
this game14.813.814.388.9121.6109.3
season14.814.5112.0108.4
opponent14.614.6105.7108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.215.614.814.814.8
IND14.615.713.511.913.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Lyles2021-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-271814.714.9-0.1611.914.3-2.44
Jarred Vanderbilt2021-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-271814.714.9-0.1611.914.3-2.44
Juancho Hernangomez2727-0.00-0.500.490.32-11-251414.814.8-0.0211.914.6-2.71
Torrey Craig4545-0.14-0.360.230.33-16-20414.615.0-0.3813.414.2-0.87
Malik Beasley3030-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-231014.714.9-0.2313.114.2-1.05
Monte Morris5051-0.20-0.300.100.44-22-14-814.715.0-0.3012.615.1-2.47
Mason Plumlee3736-0.27-0.23-0.050.20-16-20414.315.2-0.8914.113.70.33
Gary Harris5254-0.30-0.20-0.100.05-12-241214.914.80.1214.912.72.22
Paul Millsap5356-0.33-0.17-0.150.17-17-19215.414.21.1814.413.21.18
Jamal Murray5657-0.33-0.17-0.170.25-20-16-414.715.0-0.2214.812.62.18
Will Barton4750-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-20415.114.60.5714.812.91.96
Nikola Jokic5862-0.37-0.13-0.250.18-19-17-214.914.70.2914.512.71.80

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Matthews61590.460.040.41-0.2825111414.313.11.2114.615.1-0.46
Myles Turner63620.440.060.38-0.2423131014.512.71.8214.615.2-0.58
Bojan Bogdanovic54520.400.100.30-0.101719-214.513.11.4714.714.9-0.16
Cory Joseph49470.330.170.17-0.141620-414.812.91.9114.914.70.21
Domantas Sabonis48460.290.210.08-0.4726101613.813.9-0.0615.014.60.40
Thaddeus Young69660.270.230.04-0.201620-414.312.81.5214.914.60.33
Tyreke Evans43430.170.33-0.17-0.452115613.614.0-0.4515.014.70.22
Doug McDermott38380.100.40-0.30-0.482016413.813.8-0.0015.214.60.62
Aaron Holiday41400.040.46-0.41-0.281125-1413.114.3-1.2115.114.60.46
Alize Johnson1090.000.50-0.500.03-137-3810.114.2-4.1513.714.9-1.28
Kyle O'Quinn10100.000.50-0.50-0.03135-3410.114.2-4.1513.914.9-1.03
TJ Leaf14140.000.50-0.50-0.18630-2411.114.3-3.2115.214.80.45
Edmond Sumner1090.000.50-0.500.03-137-3810.114.2-4.1513.714.9-1.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 92, TOR 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
BOS 91, NJN 1100.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
NOH 82, HOU 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%