NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	3.6 [663]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +9.3%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.3 [303]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -15.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Riley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	15	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Dana Barros	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	0.01	0.11	16	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	11	36%	-0.06
Popeye Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Minor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.01	0.01	11	32%	-0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	18	58%	0.09	0	0.00	9	89%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	59%	0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	59%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	10	90%	0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	47%	-0.02	2	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.1	17.4	26.5	1.7	34.0	134.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +12.3%

TOR +9.5%

TOR +11.6%

TOR +15.3%

TOR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	15.8	95.8	106.1	99.6
season	15.0	15.6		98.1	99.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	14.6	14.6	13.8	14.5
TOR	14.6	13.1	15.4	17.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	12	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-15	17	15.0	14.4	0.61	12.0	15.6	-3.56
Eric Riley	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-8	3	16.3	14.3	2.04	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Tony Battie	41	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-17	21	14.1	14.7	-0.61	16.7	13.9	2.85
Bruce Bowen	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-5	-3	14.0	14.6	-0.58	15.0	15.1	-0.01
Dana Barros	29	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-10	7	15.1	14.2	0.96	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Greg Minor	13	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	-2	-9	15.5	14.3	1.24	13.5	15.3	-1.88
Walter McCarty	25	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-4	-5	15.2	14.2	1.04	13.3	15.8	-2.53
Andrew DeClercq	33	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	1	-15	14.2	14.6	-0.48	14.6	15.3	-0.63
Paul Pierce	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-8	3	14.5	14.4	0.06	15.6	14.0	1.61
Antoine Walker	83	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-11	9	14.3	15.5	-1.24	15.3	13.5	1.88
Kenny Anderson	67	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	14.2	15.1	-0.96	15.1	14.9	0.18
Ron Mercer	80	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-9	5	14.3	15.2	-0.86	15.3	14.1	1.23

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	15.0	15.2	-0.21	14.6	14.2	0.34
Vince Carter	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	15.6	13.7	1.87	14.3	15.0	-0.77
Alvin Williams	75	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-3	19	15.0	15.4	-0.41	14.8	13.3	1.59
Kevin Willis	69	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	11	-9	16.0	12.8	3.24	14.1	15.4	-1.36
Doug Christie	71	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	15	-17	15.6	13.6	2.03	14.5	14.5	0.01
Tracy McGrady	43	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	2	9	14.6	15.4	-0.76	14.9	14.2	0.77
Dee Brown	48	46	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	9	-5	14.5	15.6	-1.17	13.9	15.0	-1.11
John Thomas	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	9	-5	14.4	15.2	-0.79	14.5	14.5	0.01
John Wallace	24	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	9	-5	13.3	15.6	-2.28	14.8	14.4	0.45
Michael Stewart	12	9	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	11	-9	12.4	15.4	-3.01	15.2	14.4	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, IND 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
UTA 56, SEA 71	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
POR 93, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%