NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	3.4 [1111]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): +5.7%
Denver Nuggets	110		Comeback	1.1 [1222]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -12.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	0.00	0.10	5	77%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Taurean Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.00	2	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.05	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	11	48%	0.01	3	-0.05	9	56%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	19	48%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	15	62%	0.07	4	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.0	30.2	15.7	29.7	1.8	30.1	132.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.0%

DEN +6.8%

POR -1.4%

DEN +5.9%

DEN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	16.0	13.5	15.4	94.9	113.4	105.7
season	16.7	13.3		105.5	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.1	17.2	17.6	11.9	16.0
DEN	14.6	13.4	12.9	13.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Green	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	11.4	17.0	-5.54	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Raef LaFrentz	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-22	27	11.7	17.1	-5.33	14.0	13.4	0.59
Sergio Rodriguez	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-13	9	14.4	16.9	-2.53	12.4	14.2	-1.73
Joel Przybilla	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-9	1	16.6	15.7	0.93	11.8	14.4	-2.53
Travis Outlaw	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-12	7	13.9	18.0	-4.14	12.5	14.6	-2.09
Brandon Roy	55	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-7	-3	17.6	14.0	3.59	14.0	13.0	0.96
Martell Webster	66	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-7	-3	15.4	17.2	-1.87	14.0	12.5	1.50
Channing Frye	45	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-2	-13	17.9	14.4	3.55	14.8	12.5	2.39
Jarrett Jack	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-2	-13	16.2	15.7	0.56	12.8	14.4	-1.64
Steve Blake	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	-4	-9	17.2	14.3	2.96	14.1	12.7	1.42
LaMarcus Aldridge	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	-4	-9	17.4	13.8	3.60	14.1	12.7	1.45

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.17	20	-3	23	13.3	13.9	-0.59	16.8	14.1	2.77
Carmelo Anthony	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	5	7	14.4	11.6	2.75	16.5	14.8	1.73
Marcus Camby	56	57	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	4	9	13.9	13.0	0.93	17.2	14.3	2.96
Kenyon Martin	43	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	7	3	15.1	12.3	2.84	17.1	15.1	2.04
Linas Kleiza	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	3	11	13.1	13.9	-0.86	15.5	16.4	-0.93
Eduardo Najera	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	8	1	12.3	14.6	-2.29	16.6	15.5	1.17
J.R. Smith	55	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.07	4	13	-9	12.4	15.0	-2.54	14.6	17.9	-3.27
Yakhouba Diawara	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	14	-11	14.3	12.9	1.38	16.5	15.6	0.93
Mike Wilks	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	20	-23	13.9	13.3	0.59	14.1	16.8	-2.77
Bobby Jones	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	11	-5	12.1	14.0	-1.90	14.2	16.5	-2.37
Von Wafer	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	12.7	13.7	-0.99	10.6	16.7	-6.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIN 99, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
DEN 61, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%