inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 61 Excitement2.6 [751] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +3.1%
San Antonio Spurs 92 Comeback1.1 [737] LVPChauncey Billups (DEN): -8.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Loren Meyer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Carl Herrera0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Washington-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.06844%0.003-0.022100%0.00
Johnny Taylor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0420%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Eric Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03425%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Bryant Stith-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.0310%-0.003-0.0400%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.041646%-0.034-0.03367%-0.01
Danny Fortson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.04537%-0.022-0.04667%0.01
Keon Clark-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.14-0.00-0.09815%-0.041-0.02475%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.080,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.010.032148%-0.052-0.03683%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01425%-0.061-0.02475%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.042153%0.042-0.01978%0.00
Sean Elliott0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.031069%0.052-0.03683%0.01
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03650%0.021-0.0100%0.00
David Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.06950%0.042-0.03667%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04765%0.0100.003100%-0.00
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Gaze0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02275%0.0020.0000%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03541%-0.0200.00771%0.01
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.05150%-0.033-0.0020%-0.03
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.02450%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.831.115.824.22.527.2127.8
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.1%
SAS +5.4%
DEN -3.6%
SAS +11.5%
SAS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game15.415.115.864.996.899.6
season15.515.9100.7101.1
opponent15.915.692.7107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.217.115.714.715.4
SAS14.614.815.715.315.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Loren Meyer10100.00-0.500.500.12-4-272312.215.8-3.5615.215.10.12
Eric Washington2022-0.01-0.490.490.29-10-211114.115.7-1.5715.315.00.23
Carl Herrera44-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-272317.215.31.9515.715.10.68
Cory Alexander3335-0.09-0.410.330.32-14-17314.815.7-0.8214.415.5-1.15
Keon Clark5254-0.11-0.390.280.09-7-241715.015.8-0.8116.213.62.61
Johnny Taylor4446-0.11-0.390.270.30-14-17314.915.8-0.8515.814.41.42
Bryant Stith3534-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-251915.015.6-0.6116.014.61.46
Eric Williams3837-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-17315.215.5-0.2914.815.3-0.51
Chauncey Billups4746-0.38-0.12-0.250.24-21-10-1116.514.32.1714.515.7-1.24
Danny Fortson4343-0.39-0.11-0.280.43-28-3-2515.815.00.7513.716.2-2.47
Nick Van Exel6968-0.42-0.08-0.350.07-17-14-315.714.51.1814.915.5-0.59
Antonio McDyess7576-0.43-0.07-0.360.04-16-15-115.913.52.3315.115.00.12

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan71700.450.050.40-0.081813514.915.8-0.9315.614.70.91
Jaren Jackson49480.320.180.14-0.151615115.614.61.0315.715.10.62
Avery Johnson48460.280.220.06-0.011021-1115.414.80.5215.615.20.44
David Robinson52530.270.230.04-0.141417-315.614.51.0216.414.02.37
Sean Elliott52530.260.240.02-0.121318-515.414.80.6015.814.81.07
Will Perdue42400.220.28-0.06-0.281714314.515.6-1.1514.016.4-2.41
Antonio Daniels47480.220.28-0.06-0.4021101114.815.4-0.5215.215.6-0.44
Mario Elie27270.200.30-0.09-0.03823-1513.915.6-1.6815.215.4-0.23
Jerome Kersey38360.120.38-0.26-0.231219-714.715.4-0.6815.015.6-0.67
Steve Kerr990.100.40-0.30-0.02427-2316.714.91.7417.915.12.77
Malik Rose25250.060.44-0.39-0.321318-515.914.81.0714.815.6-0.85
Andrew Gaze15150.000.50-0.50-0.26922-1314.815.1-0.3512.515.9-3.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 76, UTA 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
SEA 87, UTA 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
WAS 76, POR 1110.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%