NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	87		Excitement	2.3 [1212]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +9.5%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.0 [915]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -11.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lazaro Borrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	11	58%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Chuck Person	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	11	63%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	6	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	12	77%	0.07	7	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Vin Baker	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	13	38%	-0.04	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	13	77%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.04	11	87%	0.10	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	75%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	-0.14	6	29%	-0.02	5	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.8	26.5	17.7	22.6	2.6	25.2	118.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.0%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +3.7%

UTA +5.3%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	13.5	17.9	15.2	93.5	111.0	101.7
season	14.9	16.3		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	13.7	15.4	10.9	13.5
UTA	16.5	16.3	18.9	19.9	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuck Person	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-15	16	10.0	13.6	-3.61	5.0	18.1	-13.15
Jelani McCoy	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-24	34	11.4	14.4	-3.02	19.3	17.2	2.18
Ruben Patterson	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-17	20	12.7	13.8	-1.06	19.3	17.4	1.94
Lazaro Borrell	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-24	34	10.2	14.6	-4.35	19.1	17.4	1.70
Brent Barry	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-2	-10	14.1	12.9	1.17	17.9	17.8	0.14
Greg Foster	37	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-15	16	11.6	14.7	-3.16	19.4	16.8	2.58
Vin Baker	59	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.11	-13	-1	-12	14.5	11.8	2.73	17.5	18.4	-0.89
Rashard Lewis	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-4	-6	14.0	13.0	1.00	17.5	18.2	-0.74
Shammond Williams	76	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-8	2	13.2	14.6	-1.34	17.8	17.9	-0.11
Horace Grant	58	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.32	-27	13	-40	14.9	11.1	3.77	16.9	19.5	-2.58
Gary Payton	69	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.29	-27	13	-40	14.4	10.9	3.47	17.2	19.9	-2.75

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	64	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.42	31	-17	48	17.3	19.3	-1.99	14.4	11.4	2.96
John Stockton	55	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.27	25	-11	36	17.6	18.3	-0.70	14.9	11.5	3.42
Howard Eisley	53	55	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	-1	16	17.8	17.9	-0.15	13.5	13.5	-0.05
Karl Malone	51	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	-5	24	17.6	18.2	-0.66	15.1	11.6	3.47
Armen Gilliam	41	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	16	-18	18.4	17.4	0.97	11.5	15.3	-3.83
Greg Ostertag	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	17	-20	18.9	16.4	2.49	12.3	15.0	-2.73
Olden Polynice	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.20	14	0	14	16.2	19.0	-2.83	15.3	12.2	3.12
Jeff Hornacek	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.20	12	2	10	17.0	18.2	-1.16	16.5	12.4	4.05
Jacque Vaughn	36	38	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.36	-11	25	-36	18.3	17.6	0.70	11.5	14.9	-3.42
Quincy Lewis	21	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.39	-13	27	-40	17.6	17.9	-0.31	10.6	14.4	-3.80
Scott Padgett	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	31	-48	21.2	16.9	4.28	10.2	14.4	-4.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 77, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
VAN 75, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 94, ATL 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%