NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	76		Excitement	2.8 [1222]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +14.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	1.3 [1296]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -14.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	9	56%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	25%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	8	37%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	53%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	12	32%	-0.03	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.21	-0.02	-0.08	15	32%	-0.04	6	-0.11	7	71%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.00	12	69%	0.15	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	15	69%	0.12	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	14	74%	0.09	3	-0.02	10	80%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	87%	0.00	2	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	12	40%	-0.01	5	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	15	44%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	6	7%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.0	29.1	14.7	29.0	1.8	29.1	133.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.8%

POR +6.5%

POR +9.9%

POR +15.8%

POR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.5	77.6	115.6	105.7
season	15.1	16.5		100.9	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	13.2	17.0	13.4	14.8
POR	15.7	15.0	13.0	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamady Ndiaye	16	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-37	39	13.9	14.9	-0.98	12.8	15.3	-2.53
Othyus Jeffers	22	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.17	-6	-29	23	13.4	15.1	-1.74	16.0	14.7	1.34
Mustafa Shakur	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.27	-12	-23	11	14.8	14.7	0.04	11.7	15.9	-4.21
Cartier Martin	29	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-34	33	13.8	15.2	-1.37	13.9	15.4	-1.47
Kevin Seraphin	37	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.47	-21	-14	-7	14.8	14.7	0.13	13.6	15.7	-2.15
Yi Jianlian	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.40	-19	-16	-3	15.3	14.0	1.35	15.1	14.7	0.40
John Wall	68	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.21	-19	-16	-3	14.6	15.0	-0.35	15.9	12.8	3.02
JaVale McGee	45	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-19	3	15.0	14.6	0.41	16.7	13.3	3.33
Trevor Booker	65	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	-13	-9	15.4	13.5	1.96	15.6	13.7	1.95
Maurice Evans	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.49	-31	-4	-27	13.8	16.4	-2.58	13.7	17.1	-3.38
Jordan Crawford	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.42	-30	-5	-25	15.5	13.2	2.29	15.6	13.4	2.18

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.45	34	1	33	15.0	14.5	0.50	15.2	12.9	2.22
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.44	33	2	31	14.5	15.7	-1.22	15.8	12.7	3.10
Andre Miller	45	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	8	19	16.3	13.7	2.59	16.1	13.5	2.60
Gerald Wallace	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.47	32	3	29	14.9	15.1	-0.24	15.1	14.0	1.14
Wesley Matthews	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.34	27	8	19	15.6	12.5	3.02	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Brandon Roy	44	45	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	28	-21	13.3	16.3	-2.99	13.7	15.7	-2.01
Rudy Fernandez	56	57	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.37	14	21	-7	14.1	16.1	-2.04	14.1	15.7	-1.60
Armon Johnson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	32	-29	16.2	14.8	1.43	13.6	14.9	-1.23
Patty Mills	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	36	-37	15.1	14.9	0.18	13.1	14.9	-1.84
Chris Johnson	33	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	36	-37	15.6	14.6	0.97	12.8	15.9	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, DEN 130	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SEA 87, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DEN 61, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%