NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	3.5 [1109]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +9.8%
New Jersey Nets	110		Comeback	1.4 [989]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -17.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	9	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.07	19	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Brandon Hunter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.26	-0.00	-0.09	15	34%	-0.05	7	-0.12	8	87%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	74%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	74%	0.09	4	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	67%	0.07	3	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	67%	0.00	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	11	55%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	9	45%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.05	10	80%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	32%	-0.08	7	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	28.7	14.8	29.3	2.4	28.3	129.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.3%

NJN +5.9%

NJN +11.6%

BOS -3.5%

NJN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	13.3	13.8	15.7	85.8	103.8	100.5
season	14.4	15.3		99.5	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.9		95.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	13.4	13.6	11.9	13.3
NJN	14.1	14.3	13.1	13.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-17	15	16.1	13.2	2.99	14.0	13.8	0.19
Chris Mihm	43	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-8	-3	11.5	14.6	-3.13	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Marcus Banks	50	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-8	-3	13.0	13.6	-0.62	14.0	13.7	0.34
Brandon Hunter	46	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-10	1	12.3	14.1	-1.77	13.0	14.4	-1.46
Jiri Welsch	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-2	-15	13.2	13.5	-0.38	14.2	13.5	0.71
Walter McCarty	67	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-9	-1	14.3	11.7	2.66	14.5	12.7	1.81
Mark Blount	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-13	7	14.4	12.1	2.29	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Mike James	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-11	3	13.5	13.1	0.41	13.8	13.8	0.03
Paul Pierce	76	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-12	5	13.4	13.2	0.16	13.3	15.0	-1.73
Ricky Davis	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-5	-9	13.2	13.6	-0.31	13.9	13.7	0.18

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	83	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	10	-1	13.1	16.5	-3.39	13.6	12.4	1.26
Kenyon Martin	78	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	12	-5	13.7	14.2	-0.49	13.7	12.6	1.09
Kerry Kittles	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	7	5	14.8	11.7	3.10	13.4	13.2	0.19
Aaron Williams	38	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	3	13	14.4	13.5	0.85	12.3	14.0	-1.69
Rodney Rogers	54	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	6	7	14.1	13.6	0.52	12.0	14.8	-2.88
Lucious Harris	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.15	15	4	11	14.4	13.3	1.05	12.5	14.1	-1.60
Richard Jefferson	71	72	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	11	-3	14.0	13.4	0.59	13.6	12.7	0.90
Jason Collins	63	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	17	-15	13.4	14.5	-1.12	14.1	12.3	1.84
Brian Scalabrine	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	15	-11	13.2	13.9	-0.65	14.0	13.3	0.71
Zoran Planinic	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	10.5	14.0	-3.45	16.2	13.2	3.01
Brandon Armstrong	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	10.5	14.0	-3.45	16.2	13.2	3.01
Robert Pack	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	10.5	14.0	-3.45	16.2	13.2	3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, IND 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DET 98, MIL 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MEM 68, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%