inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement2.9 [1203] MVPBrook Lopez (MIL): +13.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 121 Comeback1.1 [1227] LVPBruce Brown (DET): -6.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Blake Griffin0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.00-0.032062%0.126-0.057100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0.040,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.11-0.000.071090%0.093-0.051100%0.00
Jon Leuer0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03560%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Khyri Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.090.000.09668%-0.0000.00771%-0.00
Luke Kennard-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001040%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.05835%0.022-0.0310%-0.00
Langston Galloway-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.110.00-0.0770%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.0550%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.000.081252%-0.031-0.02560%-0.02
Bruce Brown-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.0470%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brook Lopez0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.210.000.081381%0.151-0.02580%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.01793%0.101-0.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.021456%0.0700.004100%0.00
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01590%0.0510.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.031156%0.073-0.03560%-0.01
Sterling Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01367%0.0300.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.00462%0.041-0.01540%-0.02
Thon Maker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02243%0.0010.00333%-0.00
Donte DiVincenzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
D.J. Wilson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.000.071469%0.074-0.08475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.426.914.728.31.030.0127.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +44.2%
MIL +5.1%
DET -2.5%
MIL +2.6%
MIL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game17.612.414.3102.1126.0109.3
season15.313.5107.5112.4
opponent14.314.0104.0109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.318.017.816.217.6
MIL11.211.214.113.212.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glenn Robinson III1415-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-211916.617.8-1.1114.112.12.05
Langston Galloway2223-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-242514.918.4-3.4813.012.20.72
Khyri Thomas3938-0.14-0.360.220.03-6-171117.517.7-0.1813.211.91.29
Reggie Jackson4545-0.23-0.270.040.18-14-9-518.117.10.9712.512.30.16
Luke Kennard3939-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-6-171117.817.40.4312.512.40.14
Bruce Brown5858-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-8-717.617.7-0.1112.212.7-0.42
Jose Calderon3132-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-13318.017.40.6511.812.7-0.94
Jon Leuer5150-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-11-12116.818.5-1.6812.512.30.28
Reggie Bullock5453-0.32-0.18-0.140.24-19-4-1517.917.10.8012.012.9-0.82
Blake Griffin6868-0.33-0.17-0.170.22-19-4-1517.717.30.3812.113.2-1.14
Andre Drummond5959-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-14-9-518.416.42.0212.212.7-0.44

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malcolm Brogdon53530.360.140.220.071013-312.212.6-0.3616.618.9-2.29
Giannis Antetokounmpo55540.310.190.12-0.16167911.813.2-1.4217.118.2-1.02
George Hill38360.300.200.10-0.292031712.812.10.7219.116.72.34
Thon Maker37350.270.230.050.07716-912.712.20.4816.718.1-1.47
Eric Bledsoe60620.250.25-0.00-0.281851312.112.8-0.6817.517.7-0.22
Khris Middleton54560.240.26-0.03-0.352031712.412.5-0.1218.616.12.48
Brook Lopez59610.230.27-0.05-0.24167912.212.7-0.4818.116.71.47
Tony Snell37360.210.29-0.080.07518-1312.512.30.1716.218.4-2.24
D.J. Wilson32340.190.31-0.12-0.161211112.612.30.2819.016.82.18
Sterling Brown30300.140.36-0.210.06320-1711.512.8-1.3218.917.01.85
Donte DiVincenzo770.000.50-0.500.06-225-2713.312.30.9515.417.8-2.34
Jason Smith980.000.50-0.500.15-528-3315.412.13.3514.617.9-3.24
Pat Connaughton980.000.50-0.500.15-528-3315.412.13.3514.617.9-3.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 94, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
WAS 86, MIL 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
MIL 89, MIN 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%