NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	2.9 [1224]		MVP	Dion Waiters (OKC): +8.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	1.0 [1181]		LVP	Courtney Lee (MEM): -9.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	56%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	11	54%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	12	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	0.00	0.10	19	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	9	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.08	17	50%	0.07	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	47%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.09	18	62%	0.02	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	33.6	15.7	32.1	2.7	32.2	143.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +43.8%

OKC +7.0%

OKC +0.2%

MEM -4.2%

OKC +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	14.9	96.9	116.7	105.1
season	15.7	14.4		103.4	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.8		104.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.6	16.8	14.8	12.8	15.0
OKC	13.2	13.8	13.4	19.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-18	18	12.8	15.7	-2.92	19.1	13.5	5.62
JaMychal Green	35	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-21	24	13.1	16.1	-2.95	16.3	13.9	2.39
Ryan Hollins	24	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-9	0	13.8	15.4	-1.65	16.7	14.2	2.48
Jeff Green	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-12	6	14.7	15.5	-0.79	13.1	17.0	-3.85
Zach Randolph	46	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-12	6	16.0	14.2	1.80	16.0	13.7	2.24
Marc Gasol	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	-5	-8	15.8	14.2	1.67	13.1	16.6	-3.49
Tony Allen	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-6	-6	14.7	15.6	-0.86	12.9	18.3	-5.44
Courtney Lee	44	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-3	-12	16.5	13.8	2.65	14.0	15.5	-1.43
Matt Barnes	68	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	0	-18	15.9	13.0	2.85	15.8	12.5	3.34
Mario Chalmers	77	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-4	-10	14.7	16.1	-1.41	15.0	14.2	0.71

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	0	18	14.8	14.8	0.07	15.0	15.0	0.05
Kevin Durant	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	-3	24	13.2	19.2	-6.01	14.7	16.0	-1.38
Serge Ibaka	50	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	6	6	13.1	16.7	-3.53	15.9	14.1	1.80
Russell Westbrook	62	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	3	12	13.0	18.1	-5.03	15.5	14.2	1.29
Steven Adams	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	9	0	12.8	17.2	-4.33	15.3	14.7	0.68
Cameron Payne	34	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	15	-12	18.1	13.0	5.03	14.2	15.5	-1.29
Enes Kanter	41	41	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	9	0	17.6	12.7	4.84	15.1	15.0	0.16
Nick Collison	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	13	-8	16.8	13.8	3.05	15.4	14.8	0.55
Anthony Morrow	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	16	-14	18.1	13.0	5.11	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Andre Roberson	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	16	-14	14.4	15.0	-0.62	16.1	14.6	1.55
Mitch McGary	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	17.0	14.7	2.31	8.4	15.4	-6.99
Kyle Singler	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	16.0	14.7	1.30	10.2	15.5	-5.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 65, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHH 82, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
PHX 103, GSW 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%