NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	96		Excitement	2.8 [1212]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +13.2%
Orlando Magic	119		Comeback	1.0 [1231]		LVP	Julius Randle (NOP): -11.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	13	65%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	13	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dairis Bertans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.05	17	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	12	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.19	0.00	-0.07	9	26%	-0.03	6	-0.08	5	80%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	13	81%	0.17	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	72%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.01	0.08	13	70%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	15	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	11	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Frazier Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amile Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	25.5	14.4	23.4	2.3	23.7	116.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +42.3%

ORL +5.6%

ORL +10.0%

NOP -8.1%

ORL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ORL	NBA	NOP	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.3	14.3	92.3	115.5	109.3
season	13.4	14.9		110.2	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		107.2	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.6	15.9	15.3	12.6	14.6
ORL	12.5	12.9	13.5	14.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dairis Bertans	33	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-30	37	12.1	15.7	-3.61	14.1	12.9	1.26
Darius Miller	43	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.10	-6	-17	11	15.3	14.0	1.31	12.9	13.5	-0.57
Cheick Diallo	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.32	-16	-7	-9	14.8	14.4	0.43	13.4	13.2	0.19
Ian Clark	59	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-19	15	14.3	14.9	-0.62	13.9	12.4	1.45
Stanley Johnson	61	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-23	23	13.8	15.6	-1.75	13.6	12.7	0.89
Jahlil Okafor	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-18	13	14.3	14.9	-0.64	13.1	13.4	-0.31
Julius Randle	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.42	-25	2	-27	15.6	13.7	1.92	12.9	13.6	-0.76
Elfrid Payton	52	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.35	-24	1	-25	15.2	13.9	1.35	13.2	13.3	-0.09
Frank Jackson	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-10	-3	14.6	14.5	0.13	12.9	14.0	-1.04
Kenrich Williams	55	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.38	-29	6	-35	15.0	14.0	1.02	12.8	13.8	-0.97

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	63	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.47	32	-9	41	13.0	13.7	-0.80	15.6	12.9	2.66
D.J. Augustin	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.32	25	-2	27	12.8	13.7	-0.96	15.1	14.0	1.04
Nikola Vucevic	54	55	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.39	27	-4	31	13.1	13.5	-0.43	15.5	13.5	2.06
Jonathan Isaac	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.17	18	5	13	13.1	13.5	-0.36	14.9	14.0	0.86
Evan Fournier	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.32	22	1	21	12.4	14.6	-2.16	15.3	13.4	1.93
Wes Iwundu	49	49	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	12	-1	13.7	12.9	0.78	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Khem Birch	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	17	-11	12.6	13.6	-1.04	15.0	14.3	0.70
Terrence Ross	47	48	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	16	-9	13.0	13.5	-0.44	15.4	13.8	1.60
Michael Carter-Williams	38	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	15	-7	12.8	13.5	-0.67	15.8	13.8	2.06
Melvin Frazier Jr.	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	33	-43	16.2	12.9	3.38	8.2	15.3	-7.13
Jerian Grant	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	33	-43	16.4	12.8	3.57	8.1	15.4	-7.32
Jarell Martin	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	34	-45	15.7	12.8	2.89	10.1	15.3	-5.17
Amile Jefferson	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	33	-43	16.2	12.9	3.38	8.2	15.3	-7.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 87, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
NYK 93, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHI 86, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%