NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	2.5 [1217]		MVP	Brad Miller (IND): +10.2%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	1.0 [1185]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -15.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	60%	0.05	3	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Lonny Baxter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	0.00	-0.07	10	10%	-0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.21	0.00	-0.06	24	35%	-0.12	5	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	16	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	15	53%	0.00	3	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	6	29%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	3	60%	0.02	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	28.3	15.7	22.2	1.7	30.0	124.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.9%

IND +12.9%

IND +5.9%

IND +2.6%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	16.1	15.5	91.5	106.3	101.6
season	15.0	15.4		98.3	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	14.3	14.0	14.0	14.4
IND	11.7	17.0	17.9	18.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.28	8	-23	31	12.8	15.0	-2.20	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Lonny Baxter	5	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-11	7	7.8	14.7	-6.93	21.4	15.8	5.59
Fred Hoiberg	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-12	9	15.3	13.8	1.47	17.2	15.5	1.67
Eddy Curry	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-15	15	15.0	14.1	0.84	16.8	15.8	0.94
Jamal Crawford	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-19	23	14.5	14.3	0.22	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Tyson Chandler	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-9	3	14.0	14.6	-0.61	16.4	15.9	0.51
Donyell Marshall	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	1	-17	15.0	13.5	1.46	14.9	17.7	-2.84
Marcus Fizer	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-11	7	14.3	14.5	-0.19	16.2	15.7	0.51
Trenton Hassell	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	0	-15	14.4	14.3	0.15	15.1	17.0	-1.93
Jay Williams	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	4	-23	14.3	14.5	-0.22	16.5	15.6	0.91
Jalen Rose	84	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.05	-20	5	-25	14.4	13.8	0.63	16.3	14.2	2.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	61	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.19	24	-9	33	15.5	17.2	-1.71	15.7	11.9	3.78
Metta World Peace	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-2	19	15.6	17.9	-2.25	14.4	14.3	0.08
Jamaal Tinsley	45	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	-3	21	14.3	17.7	-3.41	14.1	14.6	-0.44
Ron Mercer	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	8	-1	17.0	14.6	2.36	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Reggie Miller	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	5	5	15.1	17.2	-2.11	14.7	14.0	0.68
Al Harrington	63	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	10	-5	15.5	17.4	-1.91	14.7	13.7	0.97
Jeff Foster	33	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	1	13	17.0	15.6	1.32	13.5	14.8	-1.26
Erick Strickland	36	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	20	-25	18.3	14.8	3.54	14.5	14.3	0.15
Jonathan Bender	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	14	-13	15.4	16.2	-0.80	15.5	14.3	1.24
Primoz Brezec	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	18	-21	16.4	16.1	0.37	9.8	14.9	-5.10
Austin Croshere	37	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.38	-13	28	-41	18.5	14.6	3.94	13.2	15.1	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 67, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CLE 77, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
NOP 96, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%