NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	77		Excitement	2.5 [1261]		MVP	Dorell Wright (PHI): +7.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.0 [1130]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -7.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	3	69%	-0.00	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	10	52%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	6	31%	0.00	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.16	0.00	-0.09	15	37%	-0.01	6	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	58%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	83%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	35%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	17	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.3	26.4	16.8	23.2	2.6	24.3	117.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.0%

PHI +1.9%

PHI +4.0%

PHI +6.3%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.3	15.4	84.6	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		102.5	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.9	16.9	15.8	16.0	16.4
PHI	14.4	14.4	13.5	19.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Quinn	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-23	32	16.0	16.5	-0.49	19.0	14.1	4.92
Daniel Gibson	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-23	32	16.0	16.5	-0.49	19.0	14.1	4.92
Kevin Jones	39	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-20	26	15.5	17.1	-1.62	17.3	13.7	3.59
Omri Casspi	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-17	20	15.4	17.3	-1.86	16.3	14.3	2.03
Marreese Speights	44	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-15	16	15.6	17.1	-1.58	16.3	14.3	2.09
Tyler Zeller	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	1	-16	17.1	15.6	1.58	14.3	16.3	-2.09
Dion Waiters	49	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	0	-14	16.0	16.8	-0.83	14.0	16.6	-2.61
Alonzo Gee	46	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	3	-20	17.3	15.4	1.86	14.3	16.3	-2.03
Kyrie Irving	37	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-1	-12	16.4	16.4	0.04	14.4	15.9	-1.45
Tristan Thompson	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	6	-26	17.1	15.5	1.62	13.7	17.3	-3.59
Wayne Ellington	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	5	-24	17.0	15.4	1.55	14.0	17.1	-3.10

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	-8	30	14.1	18.0	-3.84	16.7	15.7	0.92
Evan Turner	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-4	22	14.8	16.2	-1.36	16.4	16.4	-0.05
Spencer Hawes	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.16	20	-6	26	14.7	17.0	-2.32	16.5	15.9	0.63
Jrue Holiday	61	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.20	21	-7	28	14.3	17.2	-2.89	16.7	15.8	0.82
Damien Wilkins	56	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	4	6	16.2	13.7	2.47	16.6	16.1	0.56
Justin Holiday	49	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	17	-20	15.6	14.9	0.76	16.3	16.5	-0.14
Dorell Wright	47	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	18	-22	15.6	14.9	0.69	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Arnett Moultrie	42	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.40	-10	24	-34	16.9	13.9	3.05	15.6	17.1	-1.54
Lavoy Allen	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	22.2	14.8	7.39	17.8	16.3	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
UTA 64, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
LAL 75, OKC 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%