NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	75		Excitement	2.2 [1278]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +10.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	91		Comeback	1.0 [682]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -14.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	16	44%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	29%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	37%	-0.04	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.20	0.00	-0.05	11	44%	-0.00	9	-0.14	3	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	13	74%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.10	6	37%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.03	19	58%	0.06	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	15	33%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.6	28.2	15.8	29.1	2.5	27.9	134.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +35.7%

OKC +4.4%

OKC +3.2%

OKC +6.3%

OKC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	15.3	83.3	102.2	106.0
season	15.7	15.0		107.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.3	19.2	16.5	13.4	16.0
OKC	13.5	16.8	15.5	19.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Morrison	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-27	38	13.8	16.5	-2.71	17.8	15.8	2.02
Josh Powell	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-28	40	14.4	16.9	-2.54	19.4	14.5	4.89
Sasha Vujacic	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-22	28	12.0	16.3	-4.26	23.3	15.6	7.69
DJ Mbenga	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.52	15	-31	46	15.8	16.2	-0.38	19.1	14.6	4.56
Jordan Farmar	44	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-14	12	15.5	16.5	-0.98	17.2	15.2	2.00
Shannon Brown	48	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-9	2	16.2	15.8	0.44	17.1	15.2	1.84
Derek Fisher	37	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-1	-14	16.3	15.8	0.47	13.9	17.8	-3.86
Kobe Bryant	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	6	-28	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.2	17.8	-2.63
Pau Gasol	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.32	-25	9	-34	16.3	15.7	0.59	14.5	18.6	-4.12
Metta World Peace	63	64	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	0.05	-17	1	-18	16.6	14.7	1.88	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Lamar Odom	64	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.54	-36	20	-56	16.8	14.1	2.68	14.5	20.2	-5.65

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	45	44	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.28	25	-9	34	14.0	18.4	-4.45	16.4	15.7	0.76
Kevin Durant	66	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.50	31	-15	46	15.2	18.8	-3.54	16.6	14.4	2.25
Russell Westbrook	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.37	26	-10	36	14.5	18.7	-4.21	16.6	15.2	1.37
Jeff Green	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	5	6	16.3	15.6	0.69	16.4	15.0	1.31
Thabo Sefolosha	45	44	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.14	17	-1	18	14.2	18.1	-3.87	16.2	15.8	0.40
James Harden	39	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.20	-2	18	-20	18.4	14.4	3.92	15.3	16.6	-1.34
Serge Ibaka	46	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	20	-24	17.2	15.0	2.24	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Nick Collison	29	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	11	-6	18.0	15.2	2.78	16.3	15.9	0.41
Eric Maynor	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.37	-9	25	-34	18.4	14.3	4.07	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Etan Thomas	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	26	-36	19.3	15.9	3.40	11.4	16.5	-5.10
Kyle Weaver	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	26	-36	19.3	15.9	3.40	11.4	16.5	-5.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 69, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CLE 77, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIN 93, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%