NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	2.3 [1210]		MVP	Adam Keefe (GSW): +5.2%
Golden State Warriors	114		Comeback	1.0 [495]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -7.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
William Avery	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	63%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	55%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Todd Day	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	8	39%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	41%	-0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	17	55%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	63%	0.02	2	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	55%	0.02	2	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Chris Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	13	53%	0.02	3	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	8	41%	-0.02	1	-0.00	11	64%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	0.7	30.2	16.6	32.1	2.4	31.3	137.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.0%

GSW +1.0%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +8.2%

GSW +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.5	97.9	120.0	100.9
season	15.0	15.0		102.9	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.9		104.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	18.6	15.7	12.4	15.6
GSW	14.3	15.7	12.6	16.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-17	13	16.2	15.4	0.81	15.0	14.6	0.42
Reggie Slater	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-22	23	13.4	16.6	-3.21	14.0	15.0	-1.02
Sam Mitchell	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-15	9	13.8	16.5	-2.73	13.3	15.4	-2.05
William Avery	41	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-24	27	12.6	17.9	-5.24	15.1	14.4	0.65
Dean Garrett	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-24	27	12.9	17.7	-4.81	15.2	14.3	0.91
Todd Day	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-19	17	18.0	14.9	3.11	15.7	14.4	1.33
Terrell Brandon	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	-5	-11	17.6	14.4	3.27	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Anthony Peeler	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-18	15	14.2	17.4	-3.26	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Rasho Nesterovic	20	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.28	-20	-1	-19	20.5	14.3	6.19	14.2	14.8	-0.68
Wally Szczerbiak	53	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-9	-3	16.2	14.9	1.22	15.5	13.8	1.61
Chauncey Billups	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.38	-27	6	-33	17.7	13.4	4.26	14.6	14.8	-0.15
Kevin Garnett	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.20	-22	1	-23	16.5	13.1	3.43	14.7	14.7	0.05

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.17	23	-2	25	15.4	12.3	3.17	16.7	11.9	4.82
Antawn Jamison	61	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.28	25	-4	29	15.4	13.4	2.01	16.3	14.3	1.96
Bob Sura	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	0	21	13.6	16.4	-2.80	16.6	14.0	2.64
Erick Dampier	46	46	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.31	24	-3	27	13.9	15.5	-1.62	17.4	13.9	3.49
Chris Mills	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.37	26	-5	31	14.1	15.7	-1.68	16.4	14.2	2.19
Mookie Blaylock	52	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	19	-17	15.1	14.2	0.91	14.9	16.6	-1.67
Adonal Foyle	49	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	24	-27	15.5	13.9	1.62	13.8	17.4	-3.63
Marc Jackson	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	21	-21	13.2	14.9	-1.68	11.3	16.1	-4.82
Adam Keefe	48	46	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	14.8	14.6	0.26	14.1	17.0	-2.95
Chris Porter	18	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	29	-37	14.2	14.8	-0.66	11.4	16.6	-5.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 69, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
WAS 81, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
LAL 75, OKC 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%