NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	67		Excitement	2.0 [1044]		MVP	Alan Anderson (TOR): +12.3%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.0 [940]		LVP	MarShon Brooks (NJN): -8.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johan Petro	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	45%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	39%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Jordan Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	13	38%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	13	37%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	0.00	-0.08	17	26%	-0.06	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.00	-0.08	16	57%	0.13	3	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	21	50%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	15	69%	0.08	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Alabi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	19	32%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.8	29.0	15.4	23.5	2.3	31.9	124.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.4%

TOR +3.4%

TOR +12.2%

TOR +6.6%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.1	15.6	72.0	105.4	102.8
season	16.2	16.5		101.3	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		102.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.5	14.7	16.4	13.0	14.8
TOR	16.5	14.7	16.3	17.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armon Johnson	65	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-22	13	14.5	15.6	-1.14	16.0	16.5	-0.56
Anthony Morrow	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.44	-24	-7	-17	15.7	13.7	1.97	16.2	15.9	0.29
Jordan Williams	76	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	-19	7	14.5	16.4	-1.84	16.6	14.2	2.35
Johan Petro	74	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.37	-22	-9	-13	14.9	14.8	0.08	16.7	13.6	3.11
Gerald Green	46	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-18	5	15.1	14.6	0.47	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Sundiata Gaines	46	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.20	-18	-13	-5	14.0	15.6	-1.59	16.2	16.0	0.16
MarShon Brooks	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.30	-25	-6	-19	14.4	15.7	-1.24	15.5	17.3	-1.87
DeShawn Stevenson	41	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.50	-32	1	-33	16.2	13.8	2.36	15.2	16.8	-1.53

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Uzoh	90	90	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.45	33	-2	35	15.9	21.7	-5.73	14.9	13.0	1.91
Alan Anderson	88	86	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.44	32	-1	33	16.3	13.2	3.08	15.1	11.6	3.54
Ed Davis	83	85	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.34	25	6	19	16.5	13.1	3.38	14.7	16.2	-1.53
James Johnson	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.19	18	13	5	15.5	16.5	-1.05	14.8	14.9	-0.02
Gary Forbes	79	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	13	5	16.0	16.6	-0.53	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Jamaal Magloire	10	10	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	16	-1	16.6	16.1	0.54	17.4	14.5	2.86
Solomon Alabi	78	78	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.18	14	17	-3	16.1	16.3	-0.26	14.6	16.4	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NOH 89, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DEN 101, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%