NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	2.3 [1273]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +7.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Comeback	1.1 [1268]		LVP	Jonathan Bender (NYK): -4.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Walker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	14	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	15	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
David Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	12	37%	0.02	3	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	55%	0.02	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	8	12%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	17	56%	0.09	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	14	59%	0.04	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	81%	0.03	3	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.7	30.0	15.8	23.8	1.8	30.0	129.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.2%

CLE +7.6%

CLE +13.7%

CLE +0.5%

CLE +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	13.2	14.5	15.3	89.4	119.2	106.0
season	14.7	16.1		105.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		103.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.1	13.2	13.2	13.3	13.2
CLE	11.7	16.1	14.5	16.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Bender	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.54	15	-46	61	12.0	13.8	-1.76	17.3	13.2	4.08
Toney Douglas	43	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-30	29	13.5	13.0	0.45	15.7	13.6	2.14
Eddie House	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.42	-21	-10	-11	13.1	13.3	-0.23	14.6	14.4	0.13
Sergio Rodriguez	52	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-22	13	13.0	13.4	-0.48	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Danilo Gallinari	75	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.35	-21	-10	-11	13.4	12.7	0.76	14.9	13.3	1.60
Henry Walker	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-19	7	13.5	12.5	0.95	14.6	14.1	0.48
Al Harrington	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.72	-38	7	-45	13.5	12.6	0.91	13.8	15.8	-2.02
Tracy McGrady	55	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.51	-31	0	-31	13.3	13.1	0.27	13.3	15.8	-2.56
David Lee	75	74	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.68	-37	6	-43	13.0	13.8	-0.82	13.9	16.0	-2.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.72	39	-8	47	13.4	16.6	-3.18	13.3	13.0	0.26
Antawn Jamison	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.72	38	-7	45	13.2	16.9	-3.73	13.6	12.5	1.03
Anthony Parker	62	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.72	35	-4	39	13.0	16.7	-3.77	13.3	13.0	0.29
Mo Williams	56	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.61	31	0	31	13.4	15.7	-2.30	13.2	13.2	0.06
Anderson Varejao	34	33	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.34	21	10	11	15.3	14.1	1.19	13.1	13.3	-0.16
Jamario Moon	39	37	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.16	14	17	-3	15.5	13.9	1.59	12.8	13.4	-0.61
JJ Hickson	52	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.59	28	3	25	13.2	15.8	-2.60	13.6	12.8	0.77
Delonte West	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	28	-25	17.0	12.7	4.36	13.5	13.0	0.57
Leon Powe	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	38	-45	16.9	13.2	3.73	12.5	13.6	-1.03
Jawad Williams	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	42	-53	16.0	14.0	2.04	13.3	13.2	0.12
Darnell Jackson	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.53	-18	49	-67	16.7	14.0	2.70	12.2	13.4	-1.16
Danny Green	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.53	-18	49	-67	16.7	14.0	2.70	12.2	13.4	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, WAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
PHX 71, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
OKC 94, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%