inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 87 Excitement2.3 [1286] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +16.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 109 Comeback1.1 [1181] LVPBostjan Nachbar (NOK): -9.4%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.001162%0.071-0.012100%0.01
David West0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.04673%0.0500.003100%0.01
Chris Andersen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02765%0.032-0.02333%-0.02
Speedy Claxton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.06864%0.011-0.00989%-0.00
Jackson Vroman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00362%0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Brandon Bass0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arvydas Macijauskas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.04825%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04927%-0.0300.00450%-0.01
Chris Paul-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.001154%0.004-0.042100%0.01
Bostjan Nachbar-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.00-0.0350%-0.062-0.0300%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.190.000.021677%0.203-0.04887%0.02
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.00-0.02975%0.103-0.01650%-0.03
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.02558%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.00-0.061050%0.042-0.00450%-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02387%0.031-0.02250%-0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05867%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042125%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Snow00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.120.00-0.03942%-0.025-0.066100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.428.416.426.42.729.0133.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +41.7%
CLE +2.0%
CLE +5.1%
NOK -2.5%
CLE +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKCLENBANOKCLENBA
this game16.315.215.694.6119.8104.4
season16.316.2101.2105.6
opponent15.515.3103.9104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOK16.416.416.316.216.3
CLE13.017.114.416.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass1111-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-191616.916.20.7015.815.10.73
Arvydas Macijauskas1111-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-191616.916.20.7015.815.10.73
Jackson Vroman2322-0.03-0.470.44-0.185-273216.016.4-0.3317.414.52.95
Rasual Butler3434-0.11-0.390.27-0.03-3-191617.015.91.1216.414.42.02
Desmond Mason4341-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-181416.116.4-0.3314.515.7-1.25
Chris Andersen5050-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-161016.416.20.2315.115.2-0.08
Speedy Claxton4646-0.24-0.260.030.09-11-11017.015.61.4114.915.4-0.49
J.R. Smith4746-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-11015.816.8-1.0315.414.90.52
Bostjan Nachbar3737-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-7-816.416.20.1415.714.80.84
David West5050-0.34-0.16-0.190.15-17-5-1215.816.9-1.1714.316.2-1.94
Chris Paul5858-0.39-0.11-0.280.17-19-3-1615.717.3-1.6314.516.4-1.96
P.J. Brown5049-0.46-0.04-0.410.22-231-2416.715.80.8915.015.4-0.47

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James64650.470.030.44-0.182202214.915.8-0.9116.116.7-0.58
Drew Gooden54550.450.050.39-0.2624-22614.516.2-1.7116.815.61.17
Larry Hughes60620.390.110.28-0.141841414.716.1-1.4515.817.3-1.54
Zydrunas Ilgauskas49500.290.210.09-0.031111014.915.5-0.5616.216.4-0.20
Damon Jones46460.290.210.08-0.09139414.615.8-1.2316.815.81.07
Donyell Marshall44450.270.230.04-0.021012-214.615.7-1.1315.816.7-0.88
Eric Snow38390.220.28-0.05-0.01814-615.115.3-0.2116.616.10.51
Sasha Pavlovic43420.130.37-0.240.01418-1415.115.2-0.0716.316.30.07
Mike Wilks13130.000.50-0.500.00022-2219.814.45.3616.216.3-0.07
Zendon Hamilton990.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2017.614.92.6416.916.20.66
Luke Jackson990.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2017.614.92.6416.916.20.66
Alan Henderson2625-0.010.51-0.520.05-224-2617.314.32.9316.016.4-0.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 96, ORL 1190.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
PHI 76, SAS 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
CLE 79, NJN 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%