inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 142 Excitement2.4 [1261] MVPKevin Durant (GSW): +17.7%
Denver Nuggets 111 Comeback1.0 [829] LVPWill Barton (DEN): -4.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.180,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.240.000.061590%0.181-0.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0.160,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.240.000.081982%0.161-0.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0.100,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.200.000.101879%0.123-0.023100%0.01
Shaun Livingston0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02580%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.03580%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.03564%0.0200.0010%0.00
Kevon Looney0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00656%0.021-0.01475%0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jacob Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jordan Bell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01450%0.0010.0000%0.00
Quinn Cook-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.06869%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01533%-0.031-0.00250%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.000.001664%0.1200.001100%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.03487%0.0300.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.190.000.161479%0.0300.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03862%0.0200.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00367%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Welsh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Brandon Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04525%0.0000.00250%0.00
Tyler Lydon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03750%-0.001-0.01475%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.021259%0.023-0.045100%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05714%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.000.021146%-0.032-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.526.215.725.81.823.6119.9
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +37.3%
GSW +0.3%
GSW +8.3%
GSW +2.9%
GSW +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game13.615.514.3142.0113.3109.3
season13.414.8114.5112.0
opponent14.615.0108.1108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.513.714.114.113.6
DEN16.316.415.913.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green64640.54-0.040.58-0.6641-105113.114.5-1.3816.613.53.09
Stephen Curry61600.380.120.26-0.352561913.413.8-0.3816.014.71.32
Kevin Durant61600.380.120.26-0.352561913.413.8-0.3816.014.71.32
Klay Thompson52530.320.180.14-0.151615113.613.6-0.0715.215.9-0.68
Andre Iguodala44450.300.200.10-0.352291312.214.6-2.3916.214.91.30
Kevon Looney47470.250.250.010.05724-1714.013.20.8515.915.20.68
Shaun Livingston20200.120.38-0.26-0.05625-1913.613.60.0116.215.30.85
Jonas Jerebko39380.120.38-0.26-0.05625-1913.813.40.3814.716.0-1.32
Alfonzo McKinnie47430.100.40-0.29-0.251219-714.113.20.9314.916.0-1.09
Jacob Evans16150.000.50-0.500.03-132-3313.913.50.3414.115.8-1.72
Jordan Bell19180.000.50-0.500.00031-3114.113.50.5713.116.1-3.02
Quinn Cook3027-0.020.52-0.530.10-435-3915.013.02.0613.616.3-2.66

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Lyles19200.00-0.500.50-0.031-323313.416.0-2.6014.313.40.89
Thomas Welsh15160.00-0.500.50-0.031-323314.115.8-1.7213.913.50.34
Brandon Goodwin19200.00-0.500.50-0.031-323313.416.0-2.6014.313.40.89
Tyler Lydon19200.00-0.500.50-0.031-323313.416.0-2.6014.313.40.89
Monte Morris2929-0.13-0.370.230.25-13-18515.515.5-0.0513.913.50.48
Mason Plumlee4341-0.24-0.260.030.32-19-12-715.415.6-0.2613.113.9-0.75
Juancho Hernangomez3435-0.24-0.260.020.44-23-8-1516.315.11.1812.514.2-1.61
Paul Millsap4242-0.27-0.23-0.030.08-12-19716.215.01.1314.313.11.20
Torrey Craig4848-0.29-0.21-0.070.10-13-18515.715.40.2913.913.30.59
Nikola Jokic4548-0.29-0.21-0.080.32-21-10-1116.614.62.0413.513.6-0.09
Will Barton4748-0.31-0.19-0.120.34-22-9-1315.615.50.0613.114.0-0.85
Malik Beasley6770-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-16115.216.3-1.0813.813.10.70
Jamal Murray6363-0.38-0.12-0.260.24-21-10-1116.513.82.6813.014.6-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 110, WAS 830.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%
MIA 95, NJN 760.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%
POR 114, NOP 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%