NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	2.2 [1271]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +10.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	88		Comeback	1.0 [471]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -12.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	20	63%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	12	65%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	61%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	10	70%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03
Thomas Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.02	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	38%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	5	20%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.01	0.08	9	70%	0.06	0	0.00	12	92%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	1	125%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Russ Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	7	36%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	62%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	14	24%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	-0.05	12	25%	-0.08	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	-0.00	-0.04	11	23%	-0.07	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	31.3	16.6	23.0	1.5	28.3	124.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.8%

NOP -5.8%

POR +1.7%

POR +7.5%

NOP -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOP	NBA	POR	NOP	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.1	118.8	91.7	104.2
season	15.3	15.8		106.5	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		106.1	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	15.8	15.3	13.6	14.9
NOP	15.0	15.5	16.0	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.51	34	-8	42	15.4	14.2	1.19	15.4	14.7	0.74
Wesley Matthews	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	-1	28	14.4	15.3	-0.93	14.8	15.4	-0.66
Damian Lillard	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.46	30	-4	34	15.7	13.9	1.75	15.5	14.6	0.90
Nicolas Batum	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.41	27	-1	28	15.7	13.6	2.09	15.7	14.2	1.44
Joel Freeland	32	34	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	16	-6	14.7	15.0	-0.27	14.4	15.5	-1.16
Chris Kaman	42	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.25	17	9	8	15.8	14.2	1.58	16.1	14.3	1.78
Steve Blake	47	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	19	-12	15.6	14.2	1.33	15.4	14.8	0.54
Allen Crabbe	32	29	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	27	-28	13.9	15.4	-1.53	15.2	15.1	0.10
Thomas Robinson	40	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.24	-8	34	-42	14.2	15.4	-1.19	14.7	15.4	-0.74
Will Barton	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	32	-38	13.6	15.4	-1.76	14.1	15.5	-1.41
CJ McCollum	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	32	-38	13.6	15.4	-1.76	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Meyers Leonard	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	13.5	15.3	-1.87	14.3	15.3	-0.99

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Withey	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	14.8	15.2	-0.41	12.6	15.4	-2.73
Alexis Ajinca	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-29	32	14.9	15.2	-0.34	13.6	15.5	-1.88
Russ Smith	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-29	32	14.9	15.2	-0.34	13.6	15.5	-1.88
Jimmer Fredette	22	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	-20	14	15.1	15.1	-0.02	13.2	15.4	-2.26
Dante Cunningham	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-20	14	16.4	14.6	1.76	15.7	14.5	1.21
Ryan Anderson	50	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-22	18	15.1	15.1	0.07	15.7	13.9	1.78
Austin Rivers	65	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-23	20	15.1	15.2	-0.13	15.0	14.7	0.24
Luke Babbitt	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.20	-18	-8	-10	14.5	15.6	-1.07	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Tyreke Evans	46	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.29	-22	-4	-18	15.4	14.8	0.55	15.3	14.5	0.78
Omer Asik	40	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.28	-23	-3	-20	15.7	14.7	0.98	15.0	14.8	0.13
Anthony Davis	54	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.35	-26	0	-26	14.9	15.4	-0.49	15.5	14.1	1.35
Jrue Holiday	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.35	-26	0	-26	14.9	15.4	-0.49	15.7	13.9	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 113, GSW 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
HOU 124, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
SAS 98, LAC 81	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%