NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	2.0 [1292]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +12.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	81		Comeback	1.3 [875]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -10.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.12	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	11	92%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	3	75%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.08	14	57%	-0.02	4	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.06	16	57%	0.01	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	-0.00	-0.06	8	44%	-0.00	8	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	32.4	16.4	24.3	2.7	25.3	127.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.1%

LAC -4.7%

SAS +4.7%

SAS +17.6%

SAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	13.4	15.3	102.1	85.3	106.0
season	15.9	15.5		108.2	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		108.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	18.3	15.6	18.1	16.7
LAC	11.9	13.6	12.6	16.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	50	50	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.29	25	-8	33	16.1	17.3	-1.23	13.1	13.8	-0.74
George Hill	64	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.38	28	-11	39	15.6	18.9	-3.34	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Tony Parker	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	-1	19	16.6	16.9	-0.29	13.1	13.8	-0.68
Tim Duncan	41	39	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.40	27	-10	37	15.0	18.0	-3.02	13.3	13.5	-0.17
Richard Jefferson	45	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	0	17	16.4	17.0	-0.66	13.4	13.4	0.01
Manu Ginobili	41	39	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	11	-5	16.4	16.9	-0.56	13.2	13.6	-0.34
DeJuan Blair	41	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	19	-21	17.6	16.0	1.57	13.0	13.8	-0.77
Roger Mason Jr.	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	19	-21	17.5	16.2	1.31	14.5	12.7	1.82
Matt Bonner	46	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.29	-8	25	-33	17.3	16.1	1.23	13.8	13.1	0.74
Keith Bogans	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.28	-8	25	-33	18.1	16.1	2.07	13.8	13.3	0.54
Michael Finley	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	19.1	16.3	2.85	15.0	13.2	1.84
Theo Ratliff	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	19.1	16.3	2.85	15.0	13.2	1.84

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-25	33	15.6	13.0	2.64	19.2	16.2	2.97
Bobby Brown	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	14.7	13.3	1.44	21.0	16.3	4.74
Al Thornton	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-21	25	13.1	13.5	-0.43	21.1	15.8	5.30
Ricky Davis	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-23	29	14.7	12.9	1.87	19.2	15.7	3.54
Craig Smith	17	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-17	17	14.3	13.2	1.05	20.4	15.9	4.53
DeAndre Jordan	39	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-21	25	13.6	13.3	0.31	17.4	16.2	1.23
Mardy Collins	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-15	13	14.8	12.7	2.17	16.1	17.0	-0.89
Baron Davis	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	3	-23	12.1	15.7	-3.66	16.2	17.5	-1.31
Rasual Butler	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.25	-23	6	-29	13.3	13.6	-0.29	15.2	18.9	-3.77
Chris Kaman	72	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	-1	-15	14.0	11.6	2.41	16.4	17.6	-1.13
Marcus Camby	62	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.20	-22	5	-27	12.4	15.4	-2.96	15.5	18.9	-3.41
Eric Gordon	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.27	-25	8	-33	12.9	14.7	-1.87	15.5	19.8	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 113, GSW 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
POR 114, NOP 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
IND 106, NOP 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%