NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	2.0 [1289]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): +10.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	93		Comeback	1.0 [538]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -6.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	10	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	9	85%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	11	74%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	60%	0.03	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	6	47%	-0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	0.00	0.10	7	94%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	64%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	9	58%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	7	69%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.0	26.2	15.5	26.2	2.0	27.0	124.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.5%

IND +2.8%

IND +3.7%

IND +10.4%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOP	NBA	IND	NOP	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.1	116.5	102.2	104.2
season	16.0	15.8		102.3	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		106.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	18.4	15.8	16.5	16.1
NOP	16.0	14.4	17.6	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.35	26	-13	39	15.3	17.2	-1.81	16.8	13.8	2.99
CJ Miles	43	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.38	27	-14	41	15.3	16.9	-1.60	17.5	13.9	3.61
Solomon Hill	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	1	11	15.1	17.5	-2.35	16.2	14.6	1.55
George Hill	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.42	26	-13	39	16.0	16.3	-0.38	16.9	13.5	3.48
Roy Hibbert	36	38	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.18	15	-2	17	15.9	16.3	-0.34	16.7	14.7	1.94
Ian Mahinmi	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	-1	15	16.2	16.1	0.18	16.5	14.9	1.60
Rodney Stuckey	24	25	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	9	-5	16.9	15.9	1.02	14.3	16.0	-1.72
Damjan Rudez	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.34	-7	20	-27	17.3	15.2	2.08	13.4	17.1	-3.66
CJ Watson	48	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.29	-6	19	-25	17.0	15.1	1.86	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Luis Scola	34	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	8	-3	17.6	15.3	2.30	14.2	16.4	-2.25
Chris Copeland	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	30	-47	15.9	16.2	-0.23	11.6	16.1	-4.54
Donald Sloan	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	30	-47	15.4	16.2	-0.82	11.6	16.2	-4.56
Shayne Whittington	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	30	-47	15.9	16.2	-0.23	11.6	16.1	-4.54

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.49	12	-25	37	13.3	16.9	-3.55	17.3	15.3	1.96
Toney Douglas	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.51	12	-25	37	14.2	17.0	-2.84	16.7	15.5	1.20
Dante Cunningham	43	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.32	-18	5	-23	16.7	14.5	2.13	16.2	16.0	0.22
Alexis Ajinca	46	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-12	11	15.7	15.4	0.30	16.5	15.7	0.71
Luke Babbitt	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-20	27	14.3	18.6	-4.27	16.8	14.5	2.22
Quincy Pondexter	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-1	-11	15.1	15.8	-0.68	16.7	15.7	0.97
Jeff Withey	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-14	15	14.4	16.3	-1.94	14.6	17.1	-2.48
Eric Gordon	45	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.33	-23	10	-33	17.3	13.8	3.48	15.3	16.9	-1.64
Omer Asik	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	5	-23	17.0	13.4	3.62	15.5	17.0	-1.44
Tyreke Evans	43	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.37	-25	12	-37	17.0	14.2	2.84	15.4	16.8	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 132, LAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
POR 114, NOP 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
HOU 114, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%