NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	132		Excitement	2.2 [1273]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +11.6%
LA Clippers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1217]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (LAC): -10.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	11	84%	0.13	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.15	0.00	0.08	6	94%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.17	0.00	0.11	23	70%	0.13	5	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	29%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	27%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	12	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	11	53%	0.00	2	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	0.00	-0.06	13	29%	-0.06	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.6	2.7	39.0	15.8	31.2	3.5	26.2	150.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.6%

LAC -4.1%

GSW +7.2%

GSW +6.8%

GSW +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	14.7	14.3	128.2	104.0	109.3
season	13.4	13.9		114.5	111.3
opponent	14.1	15.0		110.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.2	15.4	14.3	15.0	13.6
LAC	15.7	12.9	15.7	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.52	32	-5	37	13.2	14.2	-0.95	15.1	13.9	1.23
Draymond Green	67	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.44	28	-1	29	12.2	16.1	-3.92	14.9	14.2	0.67
Klay Thompson	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.34	24	3	21	13.8	13.1	0.69	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Andrew Bogut	52	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.40	25	2	23	14.3	12.9	1.37	14.8	14.5	0.36
Stephen Curry	47	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.25	18	9	9	11.8	15.1	-3.28	14.8	14.5	0.30
Kevon Looney	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	16	-5	12.4	14.3	-1.94	15.2	14.3	0.93
Andre Iguodala	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.30	17	10	7	13.3	13.9	-0.62	14.7	14.6	0.09
Alfonzo McKinnie	36	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	21	-15	14.5	13.1	1.40	15.4	14.3	1.10
Shaun Livingston	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	27	-27	15.7	12.9	2.81	14.8	14.6	0.24
Jacob Evans	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	31	-35	15.2	13.3	1.88	12.6	15.0	-2.42
Jonas Jerebko	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	32	-37	15.0	13.3	1.67	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Jordan Bell	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	32	-37	15.0	13.3	1.67	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Quinn Cook	25	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.35	-12	39	-51	15.8	12.9	2.97	12.7	15.2	-2.50

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Wallace	18	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-36	45	13.5	14.9	-1.40	15.3	13.2	2.11
Sindarius Thornwell	14	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-31	35	12.6	15.0	-2.42	14.2	13.5	0.78
Jerome Robinson	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-33	39	14.3	14.8	-0.42	15.0	13.1	1.91
Garrett Temple	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-31	35	15.0	14.5	0.47	14.3	13.3	0.95
Wilson Chandler	44	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-34	41	14.1	15.1	-0.92	14.5	12.9	1.63
Ivica Zubac	36	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-28	29	15.2	14.3	0.88	13.5	13.7	-0.17
Lou Williams	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-14	1	14.0	15.1	-1.08	14.2	13.1	1.11
JaMychal Green	45	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.44	-23	-4	-19	14.8	14.5	0.30	13.0	14.1	-1.19
Montrezl Harrell	50	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.42	-25	-2	-23	15.7	13.7	1.99	13.5	13.6	-0.12
Danilo Gallinari	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.37	-25	-2	-23	14.1	15.3	-1.22	13.8	13.3	0.44
Patrick Beverley	41	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.22	-20	-7	-13	15.0	14.4	0.50	12.0	14.7	-2.73
Landry Shamet	56	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.43	-27	0	-27	14.5	14.8	-0.26	13.2	14.1	-0.89
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	49	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.55	-33	6	-39	15.6	13.8	1.74	12.6	14.5	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 109, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
NJN 94, PHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
IND 106, NOP 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%