inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 117 Excitement3.4 [1139] MVPDerrick Jones Jr. (MIA): +10.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 92 Comeback1.7 [913] LVPLarry Nance Jr. (CLE): -7.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.01-0.02868%0.131-0.02367%-0.01
Josh Richardson0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.130.000.051671%0.112-0.032100%0.01
Dion Waiters0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.030.01-0.10935%0.0700.0020%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.120.000.063125%0.0600.002100%0.01
James Johnson0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.02869%0.0500.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.011067%0.073-0.05475%0.01
Rodney McGruder0.010,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.02862%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.000,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02850%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.02580%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011138%-0.021-0.034100%0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Hood0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.11-0.010.04793%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Alec Burks0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.02764%0.0300.0000%0.00
Cedi Osman0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01660%0.051-0.023100%0.01
Tristan Thompson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.01958%0.051-0.03667%0.02
Collin Sexton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.04-0.00-0.061540%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01564%0.031-0.014100%0.01
Jaron Blossomgame0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick McCaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.03961%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01844%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.010.03560%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.423.515.425.21.524.6116.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.0%
MIA +1.8%
MIA +17.6%
MIA +3.1%
CLE -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game15.716.014.3128.6101.1109.3
season14.815.5106.3106.3
opponent13.914.3116.5106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.214.617.018.115.7
CLE16.817.514.315.416.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Jones Jr.58590.490.010.48-0.3027-22915.815.40.3716.415.31.09
Kelly Olynyk51510.450.050.41-0.252412315.915.40.5115.916.1-0.15
Justise Winslow53530.330.170.16-0.021213-114.816.9-2.1216.315.50.79
Hassan Whiteside46450.320.180.140.031015-514.616.7-2.0815.916.1-0.20
Dion Waiters20200.270.230.05-0.141411313.516.3-2.7716.615.80.85
Tyler Johnson48490.240.26-0.03-0.291871116.215.11.0716.215.80.38
Bam Adebayo45460.180.32-0.14-0.261510516.714.62.0816.115.90.20
Josh Richardson61600.160.34-0.18-0.01619-1316.713.53.2715.317.3-1.92
Rodney McGruder40400.050.45-0.410.02124-2315.415.9-0.5116.115.90.15
James Johnson33320.010.49-0.480.07-227-2915.415.8-0.3715.316.4-1.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaron Blossomgame770.00-0.500.500.03-1-242314.616.1-1.5413.415.8-2.42
Channing Frye650.00-0.500.500.06-2-232114.216.1-1.9514.215.7-1.54
Jalen Jones2928-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-191315.016.4-1.4016.215.40.80
Larry Nance Jr.4242-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-211714.916.9-1.9716.814.72.14
Patrick McCaw3434-0.21-0.290.080.03-8-17915.216.5-1.2516.914.91.91
Jordan Clarkson4646-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-6-191315.516.5-0.9416.115.20.91
Collin Sexton5757-0.23-0.270.040.27-17-8-915.916.1-0.2515.216.4-1.11
Alec Burks5052-0.25-0.25-0.010.22-16-9-716.615.31.3115.416.0-0.55
Matthew Dellavedova3434-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.03-8-17916.115.90.2516.415.21.11
Tristan Thompson4344-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-19-6-1317.314.82.4514.716.5-1.80
Cedi Osman5656-0.34-0.16-0.170.16-17-8-916.515.11.3815.116.5-1.44
Rodney Hood5150-0.35-0.15-0.200.27-21-4-1716.515.31.1815.316.1-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 97, MIA 810.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
DET 115, TOR 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
SAS 102, CHI 800.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%