inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 97 Excitement3.4 [1097] MVPAndrew Bogut (MIL): +12.0%
Miami Heat 81 Comeback2.1 [184] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -10.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Bogut0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.01-0.011376%0.143-0.02367%-0.01
Charlie Bell0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.01867%0.0710.002100%0.01
Carlos Delfino0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.02-0.041157%0.134-0.07683%0.02
Hakim Warrick0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.021250%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.044100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00454%0.0400.00580%0.00
Jodie Meeks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00237%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.041045%0.033-0.0400%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00267%0.012-0.032100%0.01
Luke Ridnour-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01633%-0.041-0.0100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02663%0.061-0.02786%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00-0.041642%0.0200.00650%-0.02
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01167%0.0110.00450%-0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03625%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.05560%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01530%-0.043-0.0500%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.01-0.0340%-0.072-0.0320%-0.04
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.020.051949%-0.024-0.08989%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.333.414.826.31.726.0130.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +41.6%
MIL +11.0%
MIA -2.7%
MIA -1.0%
MIL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game16.115.815.3107.889.0106.0
season15.516.2103.3104.4
opponent15.415.5102.8101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.014.415.719.516.1
MIA15.018.415.014.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Delfino81800.51-0.010.520.0117-11816.413.42.9115.418.6-3.27
Luke Ridnour33310.420.080.33-0.3225-93415.616.3-0.7316.115.60.56
Andrew Bogut67670.360.140.230.1679-216.215.70.5015.018.0-2.99
Hakim Warrick51510.360.140.21-0.111601616.315.80.4315.116.6-1.55
Jerry Stackhouse23240.300.200.09-0.03115614.816.5-1.7218.314.83.50
Brandon Jennings61630.200.29-0.090.29-319-2216.115.90.2515.915.50.32
Kurt Thomas23240.140.36-0.23-0.1397215.716.2-0.5018.015.02.99
Ersan Ilyasova16170.130.37-0.24-0.02511-615.616.2-0.5416.415.60.80
Luc Mbah a Moute34340.040.46-0.410.10-218-2015.316.5-1.2415.515.9-0.41
Charlie Bell58600.030.47-0.440.21-622-2816.415.50.8815.316.7-1.39
Jodie Meeks340.010.49-0.47-0.02115-1423.315.87.5219.015.63.39

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston3939-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-141214.816.4-1.6015.316.7-1.38
Michael Beasley5255-0.15-0.350.200.02-6-10416.215.11.1515.417.1-1.62
Daequan Cook3433-0.15-0.350.200.05-7-9216.415.41.0417.015.51.43
Joel Anthony5049-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-11615.616.0-0.4416.915.11.78
Dorell Wright4040-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-7-216.015.60.3916.915.41.54
Jamaal Magloire2423-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-6-414.716.1-1.4316.116.10.03
Quentin Richardson6159-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-131015.117.0-1.9016.615.01.63
Carlos Arroyo4039-0.29-0.21-0.090.09-13-3-1017.114.72.3515.616.4-0.84
Udonis Haslem4644-0.37-0.13-0.250.07-15-1-1416.614.91.7214.417.7-3.24
Dwyane Wade6969-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.16-10-6-415.217.5-2.3616.315.11.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 117, CLE 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
BKN 93, ATL 800.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
DEN 114, NOH 1030.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.6%