NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	114		Excitement	3.8 [1100]		MVP	Raymond Felton (DEN): +11.1%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	1.9 [377]		LVP	Al Harrington (DEN): -11.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	12	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	70%	0.09	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	13	72%	0.14	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	12	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Nene	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	7	60%	0.05	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Gary Forbes	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.06	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.00	0.12	16	66%	0.05	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	16	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	48%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	30%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.7	28.6	15.7	22.9	1.6	26.5	122.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +42.1%

DEN +1.9%

DEN +12.8%

NOH -5.8%

NOH -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOH	NBA	DEN	NOH	NBA
this game	13.7	16.6	15.5	120.0	108.4	105.7
season	14.3	16.2		110.7	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.6	13.2	13.5	17.0	13.7
NOH	15.7	17.4	17.0	16.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-2	15	13.0	15.4	-2.34	16.9	15.8	1.13
Ty Lawson	70	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	1	9	13.7	13.8	-0.10	16.7	16.5	0.14
Raymond Felton	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	2	7	14.5	12.3	2.18	16.6	16.7	-0.12
Chris Andersen	45	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	5	1	13.7	13.7	-0.03	17.2	16.2	1.01
Nene	62	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	2	7	13.6	13.8	-0.25	16.5	16.9	-0.41
J.R. Smith	51	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	12	-13	14.6	12.6	1.95	16.1	17.2	-1.01
Kenyon Martin	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	6	-1	13.7	13.7	-0.07	16.2	17.4	-1.22
Al Harrington	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	9	-7	14.0	13.6	0.43	17.1	16.5	0.66
Gary Forbes	13	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	20	-29	10.8	14.1	-3.29	15.5	16.8	-1.36

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	23	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-19	27	16.0	16.8	-0.89	15.4	13.1	2.27
Marco Belinelli	48	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-13	15	16.1	17.2	-1.11	13.9	13.5	0.40
Emeka Okafor	55	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-8	5	16.2	17.2	-1.02	14.1	13.1	1.05
Aaron Gray	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-7	3	18.2	16.5	1.77	16.9	13.4	3.48
Quincy Pondexter	9	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	-6	1	17.2	16.6	0.65	15.8	13.4	2.36
Willie Green	54	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-12	13	16.9	16.3	0.60	14.9	12.0	2.95
Trevor Ariza	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	4	-19	17.1	16.2	0.87	11.6	15.6	-3.98
Carl Landry	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-6	1	17.7	15.9	1.76	13.3	13.9	-0.64
Jarrett Jack	42	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	16.5	16.7	-0.24	14.0	13.4	0.67
David West	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	7	-25	16.4	17.1	-0.68	12.5	16.1	-3.63
Chris Paul	84	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	16.5	17.4	-0.83	13.4	15.5	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, LAL 80	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DET 91, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
NYK 110, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%