inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 91 Excitement3.3 [1119] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +9.3%
Miami Heat 75 Comeback1.5 [1247] LVPEarl Barron (MIA): -9.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.03787%0.121-0.02250%-0.01
Jarvis Hayes0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00667%0.091-0.023100%0.02
Rodney Stuckey0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.051168%0.072-0.04683%0.00
Juan Dixon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01862%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01573%0.053-0.031100%0.00
Amir Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.01-0.02333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.011043%0.0000.00367%-0.01
Walter Herrmann0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Cheikh Samb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02850%-0.0200.004100%0.01
Theo Ratliff-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01633%-0.012-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.08-0.020.05867%0.041-0.035100%0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.001150%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.000.06862%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Blake Ahearn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.02845%-0.032-0.034100%0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.040.010.02629%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Stephane Lasme0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00636%-0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Earl Barron0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.020.031747%-0.043-0.06989%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.027.019.824.02.425.6125.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +41.3%
DET +3.9%
MIA -0.2%
DET +3.1%
DET +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game15.817.715.4105.887.2105.7
season16.816.0108.899.0
opponent15.415.8108.3101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.416.217.916.115.8
MIA17.318.117.218.217.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney Stuckey50490.400.100.31-0.041511415.416.4-1.0617.717.7-0.08
Amir Johnson50490.400.100.31-0.041511415.416.4-1.0617.717.7-0.08
Theo Ratliff27270.310.190.13-0.1917-11815.715.8-0.0918.817.21.59
Juan Dixon33330.230.27-0.03-0.06106416.415.41.0118.617.11.49
Tayshaun Prince35360.220.28-0.06-0.10115615.316.2-0.8718.617.11.50
Jarvis Hayes33320.220.28-0.060.19115-1416.515.41.1116.218.5-2.29
Chauncey Billups44440.200.30-0.110.05511-615.516.1-0.6717.218.1-0.89
Jason Maxiell50500.190.31-0.130.10313-1015.815.80.0417.218.3-1.11
Arron Afflalo45460.170.33-0.170.11214-1216.215.40.7417.517.9-0.45
Rasheed Wallace36370.100.40-0.310.07115-1416.415.41.0617.717.70.08
Walter Herrmann18180.060.44-0.39-0.06412-815.615.9-0.3118.517.51.03
Cheikh Samb990.000.50-0.500.12-420-2415.915.80.1017.017.8-0.77

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephane Lasme3031-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-131017.517.8-0.2915.915.80.11
Mark Blount3737-0.14-0.360.21-0.12-1-151417.417.9-0.4916.215.50.63
Blake Ahearn4441-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-141217.617.8-0.2416.814.91.87
Chris Quinn6563-0.22-0.280.06-0.220-161617.817.50.2816.114.91.21
Jason Williams1415-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-7-216.717.9-1.1614.916.0-1.13
Earl Barron5857-0.31-0.19-0.110.10-14-2-1217.917.20.7515.316.8-1.49
Joel Anthony4747-0.41-0.09-0.320.00-14-2-1217.717.60.0816.115.50.62
Ricky Davis7374-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-14-2-1217.916.21.7116.114.12.00
Daequan Cook6265-0.46-0.04-0.420.21-237-3017.617.9-0.2614.819.0-4.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 121, MIN 970.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
HOU 112, PHI 870.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
PHI 106, LAC 800.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%