NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	3.5 [1053]		MVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): +16.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	1.9 [247]		LVP	George Lynch (PHI): -12.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.02	10	90%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.00	-0.02	17	64%	0.13	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Collier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	16	52%	-0.02	2	-0.03	12	100%	0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	8	81%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	64%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	28	42%	-0.03	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.04	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.5	27.5	15.5	27.4	2.7	27.7	124.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +29.8%

HOU +3.6%

PHI -1.6%

HOU +17.9%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	13.9	15.5	119.1	92.6	100.9
season	16.3	15.7		104.6	101.4
opponent	15.5	14.9		97.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.3	18.9	14.9	17.1	16.7
PHI	14.4	14.5	13.3	13.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.45	34	-9	43	16.9	16.1	0.73	14.2	12.9	1.30
Cuttino Mobley	79	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.35	25	0	25	16.8	16.3	0.45	14.3	12.1	2.21
Matt Bullard	39	39	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.39	25	0	25	18.5	15.5	2.99	14.9	13.2	1.70
Hakeem Olajuwon	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	13	-1	16.4	17.1	-0.75	14.2	13.6	0.67
Shandon Anderson	56	57	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	21	-17	15.5	18.5	-2.96	13.1	15.1	-1.99
Kenny Thomas	44	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.16	13	12	1	17.1	16.4	0.75	13.6	14.2	-0.67
Moochie Norris	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	12	1	17.6	15.8	1.84	14.5	13.3	1.26
Maurice Taylor	46	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	22	-19	15.6	17.7	-2.12	13.9	13.9	0.02
Walt Williams	16	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	23	-21	18.2	16.4	1.85	14.3	13.8	0.49
Dan Langhi	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	14.7	16.9	-2.26	9.6	14.4	-4.83
Jason Collier	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	14.7	16.9	-2.26	9.6	14.4	-4.83

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	10.9	14.4	-3.48	17.3	16.6	0.69
Todd MacCulloch	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-28	31	12.8	14.3	-1.51	17.1	16.6	0.55
Pepe Sanchez	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.20	-11	-14	3	11.7	14.7	-2.98	17.3	16.5	0.77
Jumaine Jones	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	-12	-1	14.1	13.8	0.27	16.9	16.6	0.31
Tyrone Hill	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	-15	5	14.3	13.5	0.83	16.1	17.3	-1.26
Rodney Buford	50	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	-8	-9	13.7	14.2	-0.44	16.7	16.7	0.00
Allen Iverson	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-9	-7	14.2	12.9	1.23	16.9	15.9	1.03
Aaron McKie	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	-8	-9	14.8	11.9	2.91	16.5	17.2	-0.71
George Lynch	61	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-11	-3	13.8	14.2	-0.44	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Theo Ratliff	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.40	-30	5	-35	14.5	12.7	1.84	16.7	16.8	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 96, MEM 71	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DET 91, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
ATL 105, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%